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Sadly, we’ve reached the ultimate week of the common season. Fortunately, it’s obtained the makings of an epic weekend of video games as groups combat for bowl eligibility, convention titles and School Soccer Playoff spots.
I’ve been on a fairly good run during the last three weeks with my picks, going 15-10-1. I used to be 5-1 with my first six picks final week, however misplaced each of the perimeters I had within the night time video games to drop to 5-3 for the weekend.
I’ve had a couple of disastrous weeks this 12 months, however am inching nearer to .500. If I can get there earlier than convention championship weekend, I’ll be thrilled. And to get there, I’ve to go fairly heavy with the amount of picks.
Final week: 5-3
General: 41-45-2
(Word: All occasions ET, odds from BetMGM)
Time: Midday (Friday) | Line: Texas -3 | Complete: 52.5
Texas, losers of six straight video games, is a large number proper now. The Longhorns are coping with a whole lot of accidents, together with to each of their quarterbacks: Casey Thompson and Hudson Card. Kansas State could possibly be with out its beginning quarterback in addition to Skylar Thompson harm his ankle final week vs. Baylor.
Kansas State is a way more regular, well-coached workforce in comparison with UT. And the unit I belief probably the most on this sport is the Kansas State protection. Even when Thompson can’t play, Ok-State’s backups each have expertise. Kansas State has misplaced 4 straight to Texas and would like to get a win in Austin.
Choose: Kansas State +3
Time: 1 p.m. (Friday) | Line: USU -15.5 | Complete: 49.5
There are only a few conditions the place I’d belief Utah State as a two-touchdown favourite, however that is certainly one of them. The Aggies are coming off an unpleasant loss to Wyoming final weekend however can nonetheless win the Mountain West’s Mountain division. At 8-3 general and 5-2 in convention play, USU has been a giant shock in Blake Anderson’s first season. A visit to the MWC title sport could be a giant accomplishment.
On the opposite aspect, New Mexico is limping to the end line. UNM, which is 1-10 ATS this 12 months, has been decimated by accidents at quarterback and will begin Bryson Carroll, a 5-foot-6 QB who started this season as a graduate supervisor. The Lobos have misplaced their final two video games by a mixed rating of 71-7 and gained a complete of 297 yards in these video games. Simply 52 of these yards got here via the air.
Choose: Utah State -15.5
Time: 8 p.m. (Friday) | Line: WSU -1 | Complete: 43.5
Washington has received seven straight Apple Cups, however the Huskies are having a horrible season. UW is 4-7 and has endured the firing of head coach Jimmy Lake. Washington’s offense has been horrible and even when it places up yardage, it turns the ball over means too usually.
Washington State has additionally handled head-coaching turnover, however has performed very competitively underneath interim coach Jake Dickert. Dickert is reportedly a candidate for the full-time job and will assist himself tremendously if he helps snap a seven-game dropping streak on this rivalry sport.
This may seemingly be a really public aspect, however I belief the WSU offense sufficient to get the job achieved on the street.
Choose: Washington State -1
Time: Midday | Line: Wake Forest -5 | Complete: 64.5
Boston School is a lot extra aggressive with Phil Jurkovec at quarterback. BC began slowly final week vs. Florida State, however scored on three straight drives within the second half and had an opportunity to win it on the finish. I feel that may carry over to Saturday in opposition to a extremely porous Wake Forest protection that basically obtained beat up by Clemson final week.
Wake Forest’s passing assault is without doubt one of the nation’s greatest, however Boston School’s protection has achieved very properly in opposition to the cross this 12 months. I do know Wake wants this sport to clinch the ACC Atlantic, however BC can hold it shut on a chilly, windy Saturday in Chestnut Hill.
Choose: Boston School +5
Time: Midday | Line: Navy -12.5 | Complete: 43.5
Temple has utterly give up. The Owls have misplaced six straight and the mixed rating in these video games has been 261-35. Temple has been a double-digit underdog eight occasions this 12 months and is 1-7 ATS.
There isn’t any likelihood Temple goes to need to take care of Navy’s triple choice for 4 quarters. Navy misplaced on a last-second subject objective to East Carolina final week and desires to get some extra confidence earlier than taking part in Military. I received’t be shocked in any respect if that is Rod Carey’s final sport because the Temple head coach.
Choose: Navy -12.5
Time: Midday | Line: Maryland -1.5 | Complete: 52.5
Bowl eligibility is on the road on this one and I used to be shocked to see Rutgers as a house underdog. Maryland hasn’t been aggressive in most of its Large Ten video games and is usually a very sloppy, mistake-prone workforce. Rutgers isn’t notably gifted, however I belief a Greg Schiano-coached workforce to be disciplined and keep away from pricey errors. I additionally belief his protection to pressure Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa to show the ball over a couple of occasions.
Attending to a bowl sport would imply rather a lot for each applications, however to get there in Yr 2 with Schiano again within the fold appears like one thing that will be fairly important for Rutgers, a program that hasn’t performed in a bowl since 2014.
Choose: Rutgers +1.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. | Line: PSU -1.5 | Complete: 51.5
I’ve been successful with the underneath in Penn State video games fairly constantly, so let’s hold it rolling. The Nittany Lions can hit large performs to Jahan Dotson every now and then, however have been fairly underwhelming on offense in any other case. On the identical time, the Penn State protection is actually good — particularly within the secondary. PSU additionally has a strong line of defense and actually quick linebackers that may defend the run.
Michigan State obtained smoked final week by Ohio State. Getting into the sport, it wasn’t clear what number of accidents the Spartans had been coping with. MSU isn’t public with accidents, so we don’t know if a few of these key gamers are wholesome. Even with that stated, I’m snug sufficient to venture one other low-scoring sport.
Choose: Underneath 51.5
Time: 3:30 p.m. | Line: Purdue -15 | Complete: 50.5
After a triumph in 2020, Indiana has had a brutal 2021 season. The Hoosiers are 2-9 and at the moment within the midst of a seven-game dropping streak. The Hoosiers have been taking part in their third and fourth-string quarterbacks the previous few weeks and are actually struggling to place up factors.
IU has scored 15 factors or fewer in all however certainly one of its Large Ten video games. Purdue has probably the greatest passing offenses within the nation and I don’t suppose Jeff Brohm will hesitate to place up a giant quantity in a rivalry sport. The Hoosiers have understandably appeared very discouraged in latest weeks.
Choose: Purdue -15
Time: 3:30 p.m. | Line: Illinois -6.5 | Complete: 43.5
It’s exhausting to belief Illinois as a favourite however that is extra about how unhealthy Northwestern has been this season. The Wildcats are 3-8 and have only one win in Large Ten play and their six convention losses have come by a median of 25.5 factors. The protection is horrible. The offense is worse.
The Illini aren’t a superb workforce both, however they haven’t overwhelmed Northwestern since 2014 and the truth that this unfold is sort of a landing as an alternative of one thing like 3.5 or 4.5 is pointing me to the house workforce.
Choose: Illinois -6.5
Time: 8 p.m. | Line: ND -18.5 | Complete: 52.5
Stanford is one other workforce I’ve been constantly fading. Even with Tanner McKee again, that offense is horrible. The protection is a lot worse. Over their previous three video games, the Cardinal have given up greater than 1,000 speeding yards.
Notre Dame is rolling and is a really bodily workforce. I’ve no qualms about laying 18.5 on the street right here. Stanford is cooked. Notre Dame is as much as No. 6 within the CFP rankings and will search for some model factors of their final likelihood to make an impression on the choice committee.
Choose: Notre Dame -18.5
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