We have a reasonably interesting props slate this week, as accidents and re-opened place battles supply wonderful potential worth relying on who fits up this week. I additionally just like the Washington State strains to supply game-flow associated edges in comparison with their gentle passing quantity towards Oregon State final week. Let’s dig in.
Sean Clifford – Penn St – 265.5 Yards
Clifford gained’t be confused with everybody’s favourite huge crimson canine, however he has served up three “huge dangerous losses” to open Penn State’s season. Understandably the temper has been relatively somber within the satirically named Pleased Valley on account of their victory-free begin. Whereas a number of the blame may be attributed to accidents to Journey Brown and Noah Cain, Sean Clifford confirmed a penchant for committing some horrid turnovers in vital spots.
Final week towards Maryland, the Nittany Lions’ sign caller took seven sacks whereas throwing two interceptions and dropping a fumble that was returned 34 yards for a landing. His lack of ball safety put PSU in a 35-7 gap by three quarters, forcing Clifford to uncork 57 passes in a futile try at a comeback which resulted in two irrelevant garbage-time touchdowns for a 35-19 ultimate rating.
HC James Franklin has made it identified that bulldozing redshirt sophomore Will Levis might be labored into the quarterback rotation this week towards Nebraska. When Clifford was injured final yr, Levis rushed 17 occasions for 108 yards in a victory over Rutgers of their common season finale. With uncertainty concerning how the snaps might be divided, and the chance of Clifford being on a brief leash ought to issues begin to go south, enjoying the Beneath 265.5 is sweet enterprise.
Deon McIntosh – Washington State – 100.5 Yards
This isn’t former HC Mike Leach’s Wazzou offense anymore. So the pirate’s pure proclivities in the direction of pounding his operating backs with outlet passes that function prolonged handoffs has gone the way in which of the dial-up modem in Pullman. Enter HC Nick Rolovich who has a distinctly completely different opinion on make the most of his operating backs within the passing recreation. Merely put – he doesn’t use tham. In any respect.
Final yr Hawaii’s beginning operating again, Miles Reed, caught solely six passes for 53 yards in a baker’s-dozen video games. Nevertheless in a pass-heavy offense that posted 635 passing makes an attempt to 421 speeding makes an attempt, the shortage of a constant ground-based assault made it troublesome for Reed to put up large speeding numbers. Consequently, Reed solely recorded one, 100-yard efficiency in 13 video games final yr, with your complete offense averaging solely 134 yards per recreation.
Final week, Deon McIntosh rolled up 147 yards in 18 carries towards a porous Oregon State protection that had main containment points within the run recreation. Recreation circulation additionally dictated lots of McIntosh’s workload, as Wazzou led 28-7 within the early third-quarter as they exploited Oregon State’s woeful run protection to the tune of seven.6 YPC on 30 carries.
Washington State is very unlikely to be ready the place they’re up 21 factors towards Pac-12 favourite Oregon who allowed a stingy 109 yards on the bottom final season. It’s going to be exceedingly troublesome for McIntosh to ring up one other 100-yard recreation in the event that they’re down two scores and enjoying catch up.
Beneath 100.5 is the one play right here, as historical past tells us back-to-back 100-yard showings from a run-n-shoot operating again is like getting consecutive 300-yard passing performances out of a service academy quarterback.
Leddie Brown – West Virginia – 95.5 Yards
Whereas I really admire Leddie Brown’s speeding acumen, and would ordinarily think about his Over a fade merely based mostly on his expertise stage and HC Neal Brown’s recreation scripts alone, the explosive junior suffered an harm within the first-quarter towards Texas final week that restricted him all week in apply.
One of many central tenets of participant props is urgent benefits after they current themselves. It’s essential to function like a lion on the Serengeti when he spots a limping gazelle on the native city watering gap. You’ll by no means go hungry chasing lame water buffaloes who fall behind the pack. When HC Brown was requested about “tremendous un-Leddie’s” enjoying standing towards TCU this Saturday, he stated “Hopeful. Hopeful that he’s going to play.”
Anytime you’ve received a university coach doing an unwitting impersonation of Jimmy Two-Instances from Goodfellas, you understand he is reeling. Greatest case state of affairs is he performs towards a TCU protection that’s permitting a stable 142 YPG speeding, and Leddie limps his strategy to single-digit carries whereas sharing the backfield load with Alex Sinkfield. To place it extra succinctly, “guess the Beneath, guess the Beneath.”
Renard Bell – Washington State – 47.5 Yards
In contrast to their aforementioned irreverent loon former-HC Mike Leach, Nick Rolovich doesn’t change out his large receiving alignments like he’s a hockey coach orchestrating line-shifts. As we’ve seen in his earlier tenure with the Rainbow Warriors, Rolo picks his 4 guys and assaults them with targets. See: Jared Sensible, JoJo Ward, Cedric Byrd and Jason-Matthew Sharsh, who all acquired at the least 100 targets in 2019.
So once I see a pitifully low receiving quantity for a beginning run-n-shoot wideout, I get slightly tingle down my leg. Normally that’s a results of my sciatica appearing up once more after over-exerting myself on the basketball court docket, however not this time.
Renard Bell was on the sector for each certainly one of Wazzou’s 64 snaps towards Oregon State, catching six-of-ten targets for 60 yards, good for a 30% goal share. With the Cougars more likely to be chasing towards a superior opponent, it’s a mortal lock they’ll throw greater than the 33 passes Jayden deLaura unleashed whereas salting away the clock towards the lackluster Beavers. I’m ringing the “Bell” on this Over 47.5 play.
Kemore Gamble – Florida – 55.5 Yards
All of us noticed the vicious shot all-world tight finish Kyle Pitts took final week that knocked him out of the sport towards Georgia final week. In his absence, Gamble caught three passes for 51 yards and a landing. Fellow backup tight finish and four-star recruit Keon Zipperer additionally caught a go for 39 yards, as Kyle Trask smoked the Dawgs vaunted protection for a stupefying 474 passing yards within the 44-28 smoke-show.
Heading into this week’s recreation towards a surprisingly respectable Arkansas crew, Kyle Pitts is in concussion protocol and thought of questionable. If he is ready to play, then Gamble has subsequent to no probability of clearing the 55 yard mark. Nevertheless even when Pitts is out, he’ll cut up time with one other very succesful receiving tight finish in Zipperer. With these variables in play, coupled with a quantity that’s fairly powerful to achieve for many full-time tight ends, pounding the Beneath here’s a greater than cheap “Gamble.”