Quantifying Quarterbacks: Mac Jones


Quantifying Quarterbacks is an NFL Draft targeted quarterback charting mission geared towards offering as a lot details about as a lot of a quarterback’s current profession as attainable. Over 20 information factors are recorded for any given go try, starting from down-and-distance, personnel grouping, play-action, depth of goal, accuracy, and rather more. Quantifying Quarterbacks charts everything of a quarterback’s ultimate school season, in addition to a smaller pattern (4 video games) from their earlier season. All of this charting is completed manually by me throughout and after the faculty soccer season. For a extra in-depth have a look at what precisely Quantifying Quarterbacks is, here’s a hyperlink to final yr’s ultimate product: 2020 Quantifying Quarterbacks.

Distance (Utilization Price)

Left Outdoors

Left Center

Proper Center

Proper Outdoors

Complete

10/22 (4 TD)

3/9 (3 TD)

10/14 (5 TD, 1 INT)

12/15 (6 TD, 1 INT)

36/60 (18 TD, 2 INT)

4/5

6/9 (3 TD)

9/11 (1 TD)

4/7 (1 TD)

23/32 (5 TD)

8/12 (2 TD)

17/21 (2 TD, 2 INT)

28/34 (3 TD)

12/16 (2 TD)

65/83 (9 TD, 2 INT)

15/17 (1 TD)

11/16 (1 TD)

13/14 (3 TD)

4/5 (1 TD)

43/52 (6 TD)

9/12 (1 INT)

29/33 (1 TD)

26/32 (1 INT)

11/13

75/90 (1 TD, 2 INT)

25/25 (1 TD)

47/48 (3 TD)

23/23 (3 TD)

21/21

116/117 (7 TD)

71/93 (8 TD, 1 INT)

113/136 (13 TD, 2 INT)

109/128 (15 TD, 2 INT)

64/77 (10 TD, 1 INT)

358/434 (45 TD, 6 INT)

Video games Charted: Arkansas (2019), Auburn (2019), All (2020)

CHARTING EXTRAS

Blatant Drops: 15 (3.37%)

Compelled Changes: 26 (5.84%)

Contested Drops: 11 (2.47%)

Passes Defended: 25 (5.62%)

Explosive: 73 (16.40%)

Throwaways: 11

In some ways, Alabama QB Mac Jones’ charting profile is strikingly related to that of BYU QB Zach Wilson. The optics of how they every arrived there couldn’t be extra totally different — Jones’ cool, calculated sport from the pocket versus Wilson’s free-flowing type of play — however the finish consequence type of finally ends up the identical. A part of that surprising similarity in profiles has to do with how a lot every of them benefitted from their offenses.

The case for Jones’ offense serving to him is clear. Broad receivers Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith are about to be first-rounders, operating again Najee Harris will possible match the feat, and tight finish Jahleel Billingsley will most likely do the identical in 2022. The Alabama offensive line additionally seemed higher put collectively in 2020 than it did in 2019, which solely additional enabled Jones’ success throughout the pocket. Jones executed the offense to perfection, there isn’t any denying that, nevertheless it’s clear he was working on an uneven taking part in discipline.

Each the offense’s unfairness in addition to Jones’ execution of that offense present up in how typically Jones’ passes have been contested or outright defended. Amongst this yr’s top-five quarterbacks, Jones’ price of contested drops and passes defended are every the bottom of the bunch. The attention check exhibits that that is equal elements Alabama’s offense consistently having gamers large the hell open, in addition to Jones taking part in with protected, sharp determination making and high-quality accuracy. The offense made Jones’ life extremely simple and he not often allow them to down.

That mentioned, if there’s any space the place the Crimson Tide offense helped Jones with out him having to do a lot of something in return, it’s how typically he threw at or behind the road of scrimmage. 26.29% of Jones’ passes have been at or behind the road of scrimmage, which is the very best mark in 2021 by simply over 5% (to date). That mark would even be larger than anybody from 2020, and solely Gardner Minshew and Jarrett Stidham posted larger charges in 2019. To be honest to Jones, it’s arduous accountable Steve Sarkisian for wanting to simply get the ball proper into the palms of his playmakers, nevertheless it’s value conserving in thoughts when trying over Jones’ uncooked statistics.

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ACCURACY AND ENVIRONMENT

Adjusted Accuracy: 81.15%

Outdoors the Pocket Share: 9.89%

Adjusted Accuracy Outdoors the Pocket: 62.05%

Beneath Stress Share: 15.51%

Adjusted Accuracy Beneath Stress: 68.12%

Most Frequent Personnel Package deal: 11 personnel (47.87%)

Shotgun Share: 98.43%

Empty Formations Frequency: 6.29%

Play-Motion / RPO Share: 53.03%

Play-Motion Adjusted Accuracy: 76.91%

Designed Rollout Frequency: 5.39%

Among the help Jones bought from the offense exhibits up on this part, as nicely. Jones’ play-action / RPO price of 53.03% is astronomically excessive. Even when we assume the NFL’s play-action / RPO price is rising, over 50% is just not a sensible quantity within the execs. From 2019 and on, the one different QBs to clear the 45%-plus mark on this space are Drew Lock, Kyler Murray, and Tua Tagovailoa. That’s not the worst firm, actually, nevertheless it’s nonetheless value recognizing a lot of Jones’ manufacturing got here simpler than different QBs, which is particularly regarding when Jones doesn’t have the playmaking aspect these different QBs had/have.

What’s attention-grabbing about Jones, although, is how totally different his underneath stress versus outdoors the pocket splits look. When pressured, Jones is genuinely distinctive. Not solely is Jones’ accuracy price underneath stress the perfect mark between 2020 and 2021, however the movie backs up that manufacturing. Jones exhibits excellent poise within the pocket. He stays cool, calm, and picked up with our bodies round him and has the pocket administration expertise to create house within the pocket as obligatory. Furthermore, Jones is under no circumstances scared to take a shot to the ribs if it means getting an excellent throw out, which is a completely obligatory trait for somebody who cannot transfer outdoors the pocket to make performs.

When Jones does want to interrupt the pocket, he’s painfully common from a manufacturing standpoint, no less than relative to his friends on this class. And that’s with him having probably the greatest supporting casts in school soccer historical past. Jones’ 62.05% adjusted accuracy outdoors the pocket is definitely barely above common in comparison with the 2020 class at giant, however at the moment ranks final among the many top-five QBs in 2021. Wilson is the one different QB to come back in beneath 65%. Jones additionally performed from outdoors the pocket far lower than his friends. Solely 9.89% of Jones’ makes an attempt have been thrown from outdoors the pocket, which is about 4% decrease than the next-closest on this class (Lawrence).

The problem with Jones is much less about willingness and extra about means. Jones is just not scared to maneuver and play outdoors the pocket, and he typically bails in a well timed method when completely obligatory. Nevertheless, Jones is by far the worst athlete amongst this yr’s prime quarterbacks and doubtless finds himself beneath the rising normal in at the moment’s NFL. Jones additionally doesn’t have a very robust arm, so testing home windows past 10 yards whereas on the transfer is simply not one thing that’s in his toolbox.

All of that being mentioned, Jones’ general adjusted accuracy mark continues to be the second-best I’ve ever recorded. Sure, taking part in for that Alabama workforce helps, however Jones does course of nicely and throws an actual catchable ball to each stage of the sector. Finding out precisely what Jones’ ceiling could also be is difficult, nevertheless it feels protected to say his flooring is sort of excessive. Quarterbacks as correct as Jones are usually not simple to come back by, even for Alabama.

PASS RUSH

Avg. Variety of Go Rushers: 4.29

Three or Fewer Go Rushers Frequency: 9.21%

4 Go Rushers Frequency: 57.53%

5 Go Rushers Frequency: 28.54%

Six or Extra Go Rushers Frequency: 4.72%

Right here is one other part the place Jones and Wilson share plenty of similarities. Not solely do Jones and Wilson share the bottom common numbers of go rushers (4.29 and 4.27, respectively), however their charges of every totally different class of pass-rush depend are all inside 3% of one another. Nevertheless, within the case of Jones, an enormous chunk of his three-man rush price is from the Arkansas sport alone. Jones confronted 41 snaps with three-man rushes and 21 of them have been simply towards Arkansas, so it’s possible Jones’ figures look a smidgen extra in keeping with his different classmates if not for the Razorbacks.

SITUATIONAL

third/4th Down Adjusted Accuracy: 74.71%

third/4th Down Conversion Price: 52.87%

4th Quarter/Extra time Adjusted Accuracy: 80.00%

Crimson Zone Adjusted Accuracy: 67.69%

Jones’ numbers right here kind of line up precisely with the movie. On third downs, Jones is superb, although not elite by way of getting the ball to his gamers’ palms. A part of that possible has to do together with his considerably restricted arm power and lack of mobility to maneuver outdoors the pocket towards stress seems to be. When the ball did get to his receivers, although, they transformed at a excessive price, which is wholly unsurprising given the expertise on that workforce.

The fourth quarter numbers are simply silly. Jones solely registered 30 chartable passes within the fourth quarter of video games, and most all of them have been for the aim of tacking on pointless factors in blowouts, if he had not already been pulled by then. Don’t get me incorrect, Jones nonetheless killed it within the fourth quarter, however he was hardly taking part in with the identical stakes as many QBs do.

Jones’ pink zone determine is the one one value any dialogue, actually. Jones’ pink zone accuracy is worse than all however Trey Lance within the 2021 class to date. Granted, Fields and Wilson are solely hoverwing between 70-71%, so the distinction is just not large, nevertheless it’s nonetheless notable. It’s not too stunning that Jones falls just under lots of his friends with considerably stronger arms, although.



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