Now that we now have separated the wheat from the chaff, we are going to discover out who will make up our NFL closing 4 this week within the divisional spherical of the playoffs. The No. 1 seeded Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and Inexperienced Bay Packers are set to take the sector after having final weekend off, and they’ll each tackle a few feisty No. 6 seeds within the Cleveland Browns and Los Angeles Rams, who’re hungry to show that they’re official contenders and never one-upset wonders. Tremendous Wild-Card Weekend definitely lived as much as the hype, and this weekend’s divisional spherical has the potential to be much more thrilling.
Every week, we’ll gather the entire greatest picks and playing content material from CBSSports.com and SportsLine in a single place, so you will get picks in opposition to the unfold from our CBS Sports activities specialists in addition to extra characteristic content material for every sport, together with performs from high SportsLine specialists and the SportsLine Projection Mannequin, greatest bets from our employees, survivor picks and extra. That is your one-stop store on the subject of picks!
All NFL odds by way of William Hill Sportsbook.
Rams at Packers
Time: Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (Strive free of charge)
“That is the traditional playoff battle of the No. 1 offense in Inexperienced Bay in opposition to the highest protection in Los Angeles. What’s going to give? If the Rams have a restricted Aaron Donald, who has a rib damage, that may influence the protection in an enormous approach. The only blocks will not come as a lot for the sting rushers, which can put much more strain on the again finish. The Packers had been enjoying excellent offense earlier than the break, however the day off might damage. Aaron Rodgers vs. the Rams secondary and Jalen Ramsey will probably be enjoyable, particularly if Ramsey spends quite a lot of time on Davante Adams. The Rams will begin Jared Goff and his injured thumb (editor’s word: John Wolford has been dominated out). Goff did a pleasant job final week off the bench in opposition to Seattle. The important thing for the Rams will probably be how effectively they run it in opposition to a Inexperienced Bay protection that has hassle with the run. The Packers protection did play higher within the closing 4 video games. I feel the Packers will probably be an excessive amount of on this one. Search for Rodgers and firm to maneuver on.” — Pete Prisco on why he likes the Packers to cowl the unfold.
Legendary handicapper Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg of SportsLine says he has an excellent learn on this matchup between Los Angeles and Inexperienced Bay. He is 23-16-4 over his final 43 NFL against-the-spread picks and is 13-8 in his final 21 Packers against-the-spread picks. Take a look at his decide, right here.
“The Rams have an superior protection, however the Inexperienced Bay offense ranks No. 1 in factors per drive, share of drives that finish in a rating, share of drives that finish in a turnover they’re final, in order that they’re the most effective crew there. Rodgers has 48 touchdowns, 5 interceptions — should you’re the Rams, you are not going to gradual him down fully I do not care what defensive backs you are throwing on the market he is too good. The Rams’ solely hope is to run the ball as a result of Goff wasn’t good in opposition to Seattle. It is going to be with that hand that is giving him points in chilly climate — I do not like how that is going to arrange. And that Inexperienced Bay protection is enjoying very well, they’ve allowed 16 or much less in 4 out of the final 5 together with to an excellent run offense in Tennessee, and that is how I feel the Rams should play is to run the ball.” — SportsLine’s R.J. White on the Decide Six Podcast, describing why he is leaning in direction of Inexperienced Bay to cowl.
On the newest episode of the Decide Six Podcast, Will Brinson is joined by Pete Prisco, R.J. White, and Kenny White to interrupt down every divisional sport from a playing perspective and make greatest bets. Every of them will get a hypothetical $100 to allocate via their weekend picks; pay attention beneath and you’ll want to subscribe right here.
“The Rams have an superior protection, however the Inexperienced Bay offense ranks No. 1 in factors per drive, share of drives that finish in a rating, share of drives that finish in a turnover they’re final, in order that they’re the most effective crew there. Rodgers has 48 touchdowns, 5 interceptions — should you’re the Rams, you are not going to gradual him down fully, I do not care what defensive backs you are throwing on the market; he is too good. The Rams’ solely hope is to run the ball as a result of Goff wasn’t good in opposition to Seattle. It is going to be with that hand that is giving him points in chilly climate — I do not like how that is going to arrange. And that Inexperienced Bay protection is enjoying very well. They’ve allowed 16 or much less in 4 out of the final 5 together with to an excellent run offense in Tennessee, and that is how I feel the Rams should play is to run the ball.” — SportsLine’s R.J. White on the Decide Six Podcast, describing why he is leaning in direction of Inexperienced Bay to cowl.
“Over the past two seasons, the Over is 5-0 in out of doors playoff video games with a kickoff temperature beneath freezing. The temperature at kickoff has a very good probability of being beneath freezing, and with the Packers having gone Over in 5 straight playoff video games coupled with the truth that that is the bottom whole on the board this weekend, I am taking the Over.” — Jordan Dajani
High prop picks
Davante Adams to attain a landing and Packers win (+105)
“I feel Davante Adams finds the tip zone, I imply this man is a monster. He has caught a landing each week except Week 15 in opposition to Carolina courting again to Week 6. He got here again from damage in Week 6 and caught a landing in eight straight video games and caught three in Week 16 and yet another in Week 17 in Chicago. He is a landing monster, Aaron Rodgers appears to be like his approach within the pink zone, he will get open briefly yardage, he will get open in lengthy yardage, he can break one.” — CBS Sports activities’ Will Brinson on the Decide Six Podcast.
Cam Akers Over 15.5 receiving yards (-115)
“Akers has at the least 22 receiving yards in 4 of his previous 5 video games. He additionally has at the least three targets in three of his previous 4, solidifying his function as an possibility within the go sport. Over their final 4 video games, the Packers have allowed an 85% catch charge and seven.4 yards per reception to operating backs.” — CBS Sports activities’ Dave Richard
Time: Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (Strive free of charge)
“To be clear, we’re not fairly certain but whether or not Buffalo will really get snow on Saturday evening. However here is what we’re certain of: Lamar Jackson and Co. ought to be capable of run the ball in opposition to Sean McDermott’s protection. The Ravens did not precisely explode in opposition to the Titans within the wild-card spherical, and we’re nonetheless large believers in Josh Allen’s play-making talents. However one thing says Jackson’s electrical energy, coupled with the remainder of Baltimore’s floor sport, will come up large in what figures to be a blow-for-blow struggle to the end. Right here comes one other showdown between the 2018 and 2019 MVPs within the AFC title sport!” — Cody Benjamin on why one in every of his 5 daring predictions is the Ravens upsetting the Payments.
“This will probably be a battle of two star quarterbacks, one who runs it in addition to anyone ever has from the place in Lamar Jackson, and the opposite in Josh Allen, who has been excellent throwing it this season. The Ravens will make no bones about what they need to do on offense, which is to pound it. They’re averaging 262 dashing yards a sport of their final six video games. The Payments have improved in opposition to the run from earlier within the 12 months, however this will probably be an enormous problem. The technique from coordinator Leslie Frazier will probably be one thing to observe when it comes to making an attempt to maintain Jackson contained. The Ravens protection is again wholesome now, which is why they impressed final week in opposition to the Titans. However this can be a greater problem in going through Allen. This will probably be a detailed sport, however ultimately I feel Allen will make the game-winning performs late to tug it out — however it is going to be razor-thin shut.” — Pete Prisco on why he is taking the Ravens to cowl.
“We have additionally heard this week about how Lamar Jackson has by no means performed in snow earlier than. Present forecasts are calling for chilly and snow in Buffalo as a result of it is Buffalo in January. I am simply unsure how a lot of an influence that may have on Lamar as a result of whereas he hasn’t performed within the snow, he has performed within the chilly. It isn’t like division rivals Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Cincinnati are in warm-weather climates. I do not see the climate impacting one crew greater than the opposite. As a substitute, what I see is the climate impacting the way in which every crew performs. It isn’t solely going to be chilly with snow within the forecast, however excessive winds as effectively. The climate could pressure each groups to maintain the ball on the bottom extra typically than traditional, and it might influence Josh Allen and Buffalo’s want to throw downfield. You understand, assuming there’s any pressure in nature that may have an effect on Josh Allen’s lasers. Both approach, I see the climate placing a cramp in each offenses and affecting the kicking sport as effectively, so with all that in thoughts, this whole appears just a little too excessive.” — Tom Fornelli on why he is leaning Below on Payments-Ravens.
High prop picks
J.Ok. Dobbins whole dashing yards: Over 58.5 (-120) — — SportsLine’s R.J. White on the Decide Six Podcast
Lamar Jackson whole dashing yards: Over 75.5 (-115) — Will Brinson on the Decide Six Podcast
Browns at Chiefs
Time: Sunday, 3:05 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Entry
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
“Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield have confronted one another simply as soon as of their NFL careers, again in Week 9 of 2018 when the Chiefs beat the Browns by 16 factors. It isn’t the one time they’ve ever confronted off of their soccer careers, nonetheless, as the 2 set a college-football file with 1,279 mixed passing yards when Oklahoma and Texas Tech matched up in 2016. It is extra concerning the run sport on the subject of the Browns, nonetheless, as in 14 video games with Nick Chubb energetic, the Browns have rushed for 160.2 yards per sport and 23 touchdowns, and completed the common season with the No. 3 dashing offense within the league. Curiously sufficient, the Chiefs have allowed 122.1 dashing yards per sport this season, which is worst amongst all playoff groups. Nonetheless, I’ve a tough time believing that the Browns will upset the Chiefs within the divisional spherical. I do suppose that they’ll cowl the unfold, nonetheless, because the Chiefs have not received a sport by greater than six factors since Week 8. Since Week 9 they’re 1-7 in opposition to the unfold, which is worst within the NFL!” — Jordan Dajani on why he is leaning in direction of Cleveland to cowl.
SportsLine Senior analyst Larry Hartstein is 15-2 in his final 17 picks in video games that embrace the Chiefs, and he has a greatest guess for this divisional-round matchup. Take a look at his decide on SportsLine, right here.
“The Browns’ largest defensive weak spot is their secondary and that is not a weak spot you possibly can afford to have if you’re enjoying the Chiefs. The one factor that does fear me concerning the Chiefs is the rust issue. Usually, I do not put a lot inventory in one thing like that, however their starters will not have performed for 3 weeks by the point they take the sector on Sunday. Final 12 months, they fell behind 24-0 to the Texans earlier than the rust wore off and now, they should play a Browns crew that simply had the most effective first quarter of any crew in NFL playoff historical past. That is not a great mixture for Kansas Metropolis.
“I am totally anticipating this sport to be a shootout identical to it’s each time Baker Mayfield and Mahomes play one another.” — John Breech on why he is eyeing the Over.
High prop picks
Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing TDs (-125)
The Chiefs go protection has allowed at the least two touchdowns in eight straight video games. Mayfield has fired at the least two scores in 5 of his previous seven. The road suggests the Browns should chase the scoreboard. The chances aren’t supreme however it feels very protected. — CBS Sports activities’ Dave Richard
Austin Hooper anytime TD (+250)
Hooper has come alive in his previous six video games, registering a mean of 6.8 targets per sport and scoring in 4 of them (and every of his previous two). Kansas Metropolis has afforded a landing to a good finish in every of its previous two video games, and three of the previous 4. — CBS Sports activities’ Dave Richard
Time: Sunday, 6:40 p.m. ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (Strive free of charge)
New Orleans Saints
“They did advance final week, however the Buccaneers did battle a bit in opposition to Taylor Heinicke and it was hardly a type of wins you felt good about going ahead. It form of felt like they merely escaped reasonably than despatched a message to the remainder of the NFC that they had been round to make a deep run. In the meantime, the Saints had no drawback with the Bears final trip, however you would make a case that we did not be taught a lot about New Orleans both as Chicago did their greatest to return away with the ‘L.’ Whereas Tampa Bay has the expertise, it is exhausting to belief them happening the street and slaying the Saints. Of their careers, Drew Brees is 5-2 SU and ATS in head-to-head matchups with Tom Brady. This sport will probably be nearer than the earlier matchups, however I will nonetheless roll with the established order in New Orleans.” — Tyler Sullivan on why he likes the Saints to cowl on Sunday.
“When two division rivals meet within the playoffs, I do not essentially take note of what occurred through the common season, however on this sport, it is form of exhausting to disregard. The Saints blew out the Buccaneers twice this 12 months with wins of 34-23 and 38-3, and sure, I depend that first rating as a blowout as a result of it was 34-17 late within the sport till the Buccaneers scored a garbage-time landing. Apparently, it is purported to be powerful to beat a crew thrice in a single season, however I am beginning to suppose that is an previous wives’ story that some drunken NFL fan got here up with one evening after having one too many drinks on Bourbon Road. Since 1970, a complete of 21 groups have gone 2-0 in opposition to a divisional opponent within the common season after which confronted them once more within the playoffs and people 21 groups went 14-7 within the third sport, which implies 66.7% of the groups have completed the three-game sweep. Over the previous 25 years, that quantity is 75% (9-3).” — John Breech on why he is on the Saints to cowl.
“Tampa Bay’s offense is placing up large numbers because of Brady, however that New Orleans protection hasn’t allowed 300 passing yards in any sport all 12 months. So, that New Orleans offense could possibly be just a little sharper than final week, however I feel their ‘D’ dictates the sport and the offense will get conservative within the second half.” — SportsLine’s R.J. White on the Decide Six Podcast explaining why he is leaning in direction of the Below.
High prop picks
Alvin Kamara Below 102.5 whole yards (-115)
“Tampa Bay has allowed 100 whole yards to simply two operating backs all 12 months (Dalvin Prepare dinner, Brian Hill in Week 17). Shoot, solely seven groups have had their operating backs whole 100 yards in opposition to this entrance! The Bucs have held opposing runners to three.7 yards per carry of their previous eight, and regardless of rating first in operating again receptions per sport allowed (6.18), they’re sixth-best in yards per catch allowed (6.5) and twelfth in receiving touchdowns per sport allowed (0.18). Kamara is clearly a particular participant, however even he is struggled to get even 70 whole yards in opposition to the Bucs in two video games this season regardless of 5 receptions in every sport. I totally count on Kamara to attain and get near the quantity, however not over it.” — CBS Sports activities’ Dave Richard
Tom Brady Over 0.5 interceptions (-145) — Jordan Dajani