Greatest bets for Week 14 within the NFL and the right way to play the Military-Navy sport

Comfortable Friday, everybody. Your favourite degenerate e-newsletter scribe has returned. I might wish to thank Tyler Sullivan for filling in for me yesterday whereas I used to be on the dentist for an unplanned go to. The excellent news is I didn’t die whereas there. The unhealthy information is I will be making a return journey once more subsequent week to get a root canal.

Hooray, me!

Anyway, yeah, I might desire to only put that out of my thoughts for so long as doable. As a substitute, I will assault this weekend prefer it’s the final weekend earlier than my root canal as a result of it’s. I’ve by no means had one earlier than, however my dentist assures me that it is nowhere close to as unhealthy as its status. In fact, my dentist is a dentist, so what else is he purported to say? Him saying root canals aren’t so unhealthy is similar factor as Adam Gase saying he thinks his staff seemed nice in apply.

I am fairly positive it’ll suck, and even when it would not suck, you might be positive I will fake it sucks to exploit all the additional love and a spotlight after I get dwelling. “Oh no, honey, let me get that for y…oooooh ouch! My tooth! No, don’t be concerned, it is no large de…are you positive? OK, nicely, in the event you insist I simply sit right here, that is what I will do.”

OK, so perhaps my dentist is true. Perhaps root canals aren’t so unhealthy in any case.

Now, earlier than we get to a loaded e-newsletter crammed with picks to get you thru the weekend, let’s make amends for at present’s actions.

To the picks!

All occasions Japanese, and all odds by way of William Hill Sportsbook

🔥 The Sizzling Ticket

Nevada at San Jose State, 10 p.m. | TV: CBS Sports activities Community
The Decide: Nevada (-110)
: Whereas it says this sport is at San Jose State, it isn’t at San Jose State. Attributable to authorities restrictions ensuing from COVID-19, San Jose State is not allowed to play dwelling video games. Final week its “dwelling” sport was in Honolulu. Tonight its dwelling sport is in Las Vegas at Sam Boyd Stadium. That is unlucky for San Jose State as a result of it comes into this sport undefeated and has been one of many Mountain West’s greatest groups. The issue is, I can not assist however consider the entire journey and antagonistic circumstances this staff is coping with are going to catch as much as it sooner or later.

And there is a good likelihood that time is tonight towards a Nevada staff that is 6-1 and trying to play its method into the convention title sport. If you take a look at these two groups statistically, you discover many similarities on each the offensive and defensive sides of the ball. The unfold is as small as it’s for a cause. So when making an attempt to determine which staff has the benefit right here, there’s the journey state of affairs I discussed with San Jose State that pushes me towards Nevada. The clincher is that the Wolf Pack even have the higher quarterback on this matchup, due to Carson Robust.

Key Pattern: Nevada has lined in 11 of the final 17 conferences.

This is what SportsLine is saying concerning the sport: The Superior Pc Mannequin is superior. I am not even a mannequin, not to mention superior, so perhaps it is best to double-check with its picks for this sport.

💰The Picks


Falcons at Chargers, Sunday 4:25 p.m | TV: Fox
The Decide: Falcons Over 24.5 (-110) — 
Fading Anthony Lynn and the Chargers labored nicely final week, however I am not as snug doing so with the Falcons as street favorites on this spot. Do not get me flawed, I believe the Falcons will cowl this unfold, however betting on their staff whole is a safer play. The Chargers have allowed a minimum of 27 factors in 9 straight video games. They’ve allowed a minimum of 21 factors in each sport this season however one, and that one was the season-opener towards Cincinnati in Joe Burrow’s first NFL begin (with out a preseason). That is an terrible protection we’re coping with right here. If you mix that terrible protection with a number of the worst particular groups protection items within the league, you get a staff that bleeds factors to opponents. So as an alternative of worrying concerning the unfold or whole, I will depend on the Falcons scoring factors.

Key Pattern: The Chargers have allowed a minimum of 27 factors in 9 straight video games.

Saints at Eagles, Sunday 4:25 p.m | TV: Fox
The Decide: Saints -6.5 (-110) — 
So the Eagles are going from Carson Wentz to Jalen Hurts, and whereas Wentz has been terrible and deserves to be benched, it is not like he is been the Eagles’ solely downside. That is only a unhealthy Philadelphia staff we’re coping with, and one with a number of accidents. Jalen Hurts is not going to come back in and repair something on his personal. We’re speaking a few rookie who made just a few good performs towards Inexperienced Bay, however he nonetheless completed with solely 5 completions in 12 cross makes an attempt whereas enjoying in largely garbage-time circumstances. Now he is being requested to make his first profession begin towards one of many NFL’s greatest defenses (the Saints rank second in defensive DVOA). Additionally, do you know that during the last two seasons, the Saints are 8-0 each straight up and towards the unfold with out Drew Brees? You do now!

Key Pattern: NFC East groups are solely 12-18 ATS exterior the division this season.

Steelers at Payments, Sunday 8:20 p.m | TV: NBC
The Decide: Payments -1.5 (-110) — 
The Steelers blew it towards Washington on Monday. They’d a 14-3 lead at halftime and will’ve been capable of maintain on and stay undefeated, however they did not. They seemed like a drained staff within the second half, and for good cause: it was their second sport in 5 days and third in 15. Nicely, this sport shall be their third sport in 12 days. That is not simple for anyone to take care of, not to mention a Steelers staff coping with accidents. That cancels out the very fact the Payments are enjoying on a brief week right here. Plus, whereas the Payments have struggled defensively to cease the run this 12 months, that does not fear me, contemplating the Steelers do not even run the ball anymore.

Key Pattern: Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its final six video games as a house favourite.

🏈 School Soccer

Navy at Military, Saturday 3 p.m | TV: CBS
The Decide: Below 37.5 (-110) — 
Since 2005, there have been 46 video games performed between service academies (Military, Air Pressure, Navy). In these 46 video games, the beneath has gone 36-9-1. That is simply what occurs when possibility groups play each other. There are restricted possessions for the reason that clock hardly ever stops. Now, perhaps you suppose this whole is simply too low and also you’re scared. I perceive, however not one of the final six conferences between these two have gone over 38 factors. The final time it did was in 2013 when Navy gained 34-7. These are low-scoring affairs as a result of the clock by no means stops and possessions are restricted. Plus, whereas Navy’s protection was a tire fireplace earlier this season, it is improved drastically as of late.

Key Pattern: Service academy unders are 36-9-1 since 2005.

Wake Forest at Louisville, Saturday 12 p.m | TV: ACC Community
The Decide: Wake Forest +1 (-110) — 
Let’s recap how the previous couple of weeks have gone for the Cardinals. To start with, they’re 3-7 on the season, and their wins have come towards Western Kentucky, a Florida State staff that is been dying to have the season finish for months and a Syracuse staff that is been decimated all 12 months lengthy. A few weeks in the past, the staff’s star operating again, Javian Hawkins, opted out for the remainder of the season. This week, the staff’s main receiver, Tutu Atwell, adopted swimsuit. All of this came about whereas Scott Satterfield was overtly flirting with the South Carolina job. Even after staying at Louisville, he overtly admitted that he’d hear if sure different faculties known as. Now, I am not going to argue there’s something flawed with it; in actual fact, I like Satterfield’s honesty, however does Louisville strike you as a staff that is in a superb place proper now? It would not to me, and albeit, I believe Wake Forest is only a higher staff. So if you are going to give me factors with them, positive.

Key Pattern: Wake Forest has lined in 5 of the final six conferences.

Need extra of my school soccer picks for this weekend? You could find them in The Six Pack.

If soccer is what you are searching for, my three favourite Premier League performs might be discovered right here.

🔒 SportsLine Decide of the Day: SportsLine professional Zack Cimini, who’s 9-1 in his final 10 picks involving Arizona, has launched his choose for Friday’s sport between the Wildcats and Solar Devils.

💸 The DFS Rundown


Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs — Have you ever heard of this man earlier than? I am informed he is fairly good. I’d assume that Mahomes or Aaron Rodgers are going to be the preferred QB performs this weekend, and of the 2, I desire Mahomes, particularly on FanDuel, the place he is barely cheaper. Should you’re on DraftKings, give Rodgers stronger consideration. No matter their value, I count on Mahomes will end with extra fantasy factors, and that is what issues ultimately. His matchup towards the Dolphins offers a better ground with the same ceiling to Rodgers. Plus, you already know, he is Patrick Mahomes. It is already enjoyable to look at him play, and it is extra enjoyable when it is serving to make you cash.


Curtis Samuel, WR, Panthers — There are a number of touches out there within the Carolina offense this weekend. We all know D.J. Moore is out, and it is trying like Christian McCaffery will not be returning this weekend, both. The Moore absence means extra targets for each Samuel and Robby Anderson, however I like Samuel somewhat extra. To start with, he’ll have a decrease possession share than Anderson, and secondly, he is generally used as part of Carolina’s run sport. Mix all of that with an embattled Denver secondary, and it may very well be an enormous day for all Carolina pass-catchers. 

Full lineup recommendation

SportsLine’s staff of DFS insiders has you lined for each day fantasy sports activities. Mike McClure has gained nearly $2 million enjoying DFS, and Jacob Gibbs was ranked as one of many nation’s most correct Fantasy specialists final 12 months. Plus, use SportsLine’s all-new DFS Optimizer to get optimum NFL DFS picks from 10,000 simulations.  

 Sunday Parlay

A four-leg NFL parlay paying +193

  • Chiefs -340
  • Panthers -160
  • Seahawks -800
  • Packers -420


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