Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl Prediction Game Preview


Bowling Green vs New Mexico State prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. Quick Lane Bowl, Monday, December 26

Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl Prediction Game Preview

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Bowling Green vs New Mexico State How To Watch

Date: Monday, December 26
Game Time: 2:30 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Bowling Green (6-6), New Mexico State (6-6)
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Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl 5 Things To Know

Quick Lane Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

So, you want a bowl game with two teams that are really, really going to care? These two programs came into the season ranked among the lowest teams in college football, no one expected either one to have a shot at a winning season, and bowls are special for them no matter what, especially New Mexico State.

The Aggies got a break from the NCAA because a tragedy at San Jose State forced a cancelation of a midseason game. The played a 12th game anyway to have a Senior Day, rolling Valparaiso 65-3 to get to six wins, even though that made it two of the six wins coming against FCS teams, and … whatever. Head coach Jerry Kill’s team is in a bowl, and it’s rolling offensively.

This is just the fifth bowl game for the New Mexico State program. It won the Arizona in 2017, but before that the previous bowl appearance was in the 1960 Sun. Bowling Green is 1-5 in its last six bowl games going back to 2004, with the last appearance a blowout loss to Georgia Southern in the 2015 GoDaddy.

Bowling Green started out the season 1-3 in what seemed like another lost year, and it closed rough losing two of its last three games. In between, though, it went on a nice midseason run, shocked eventual MAC champion Toledo on the road, and now it brings its fun passing game to Detroit.

The Quick Lane is a reboot of other Detroit bowl games, getting going in 2014 with a mixed bag of games. The 2020 version was canceled, four were ugly blowouts, and three were entertaining. It’s the first time a Power Five team isn’t playing in it.

CFN Experts Dec 20-27 | CFP NY6, Dec 28-Jan 2

Why Bowling Green Will Win The Quick Lane Bowl

The passing game has been fun.

The Falcons might not run all that well, and they offensive line is miserable in pass protection, but Matt McDonald is able to get the offense moving through the air when it gets on a little bit of a roll.

It’s a simple formula. When the offense gets to 247 passing yards it has a shot – it’s 4-2 when it gets there and 2-4 when it doesn’t.

The other side is hit or miss, but the pass rush was as strong as any in the MAC and should be disruptive enough to force a few mistakes. New Mexico State doesn’t have big problems giving the ball away, but the D isn’t great at generating mistakes.

However …

Why New Mexico State Will Win The Quick Lane Bowl

It’s a Jerry Kill team, so in a perfect world it would like to start running and get physical. The program isn’t there yet in its Kill’s first season, but his offense has been crushing it over the last month.

QB Diego Pavia was supposed to be questionable, but he’s expected to give it a go. The offense takes on a different look if he’s able to go. He might not wing it around too much, and he might not be consistent, but he threw seven touchdown passes in his last two games and 11 over the last five – and he can run a little bit, too.

Bowling Green will give up 200 yards through the air. It’s not awful against the run, and it has a great pass rush, but the New Mexico State offensive front is good in pass protection. The quarterbacks get time to take shots down the field, and in the perfect conditions indoors, the O will stretch the field.

Quick Lane Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

NEXT: What’s Going To Happen, Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Prediction, Quick Lane Bowl History

Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl, What’s Going To Happen

Don’t just assume New Mexico State is going to crank up a ton of points after lighting up Lamar and Valparaiso. The 49 hung up on an injured Liberty team  in an unfocused situation was sort of strange, too.

In general, the Aggies have had a tough time scoring. It’s feast or famine for the attack, but it’s also 6-0 when scoring more than 14 points and 0-6 when it doesn’t.

That’s way misleading considering the competition level they played, but they’re going to score more than 14 points. There’s a flip side to this.

Bowling Green is 0-6 when giving up 38 points or more and 6-0 when allowing fewer. New Mexico State won’t get to 38, but it’ll make it fun in a back-and-forth firefight.

Bowling Green vs New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl, Prediction, Line

CFN Prediction: Bowling Green 34, New Mexico State 30
Line: Bowling Green -3.5, o/u: 48.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Quick Lane Bowl Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
CFN Experts Dec 20-27 | CFP NY6, Dec 28-Jan 2

Quick Lane Bowl History

Dec. 27, 2021 Western Michigan 52, Nevada 24
2020 Canceled
Dec. 26, 2019 Pitt 34, Eastern Michigan 30
Dec. 26, 2018 Minnesota 34, Georgia Tech 10
Dec. 26, 2017 Duke 36, Northern Illinois 14
Dec. 26 2016 Boston College 36, Maryland 30
Dec. 28, 2015 Minnesota 21 Central Michigan 14
Dec. 26, 2014 Rutgers 40 North Carolina 21
Dec. 26, 2013 Pittsburgh 30 Bowling Green 27
Dec. 26, 2012 Central Michigan 24 Western Kentucky 21
Dec. 27, 2011 Purdue 37 Western Michigan 32
Dec. 26, 2010 FIU 34 Toledo 32
Dec. 26, 2009 Marshall 21 Ohio 17
Dec. 26, 2008 FAU 24 Central Michigan 21
Dec. 26, 2007 Purdue 51 Central Michigan 48
Dec. 26, 2006 Central Michigan 31 Middle Tennessee 14
Dec. 26, 2005 Memphis 38 Akron 31
Dec. 27, 2004 Connecticut 39 Toledo 10
Dec. 26, 2003 Bowling Green 28 Northwestern 24
Dec. 26, 2002 Boston College 51 Toledo 25
Dec. 29, 2001 Toledo 23 Cincinnati 16
Dec. 27, 2000 Marshall 25 Cincinnati 14
Dec. 27, 1999 Marshall 21 BYU 3
Dec. 23, 1998 Marshall 48 Louisville 29
Dec. 26, 1997 Mississippi 34 Marshall 31

2022-2023 Bowl Schedule, Predictions

Story originally appeared on College Football News



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