Steelers at Chiefs skilled picks, odds: Level unfold, complete, participant props, the way to watch AFC wild card sport

Ben Roethlisberger will get one other shot to chase a Tremendous Bowl, as he and the Pittsburgh Steelers secured a spot within the playoffs after a dramatic Week 18. Nevertheless, they must face top-of-the-line groups within the NFL proper off the bat on Tremendous Wild Card Weekend, as they journey to Kansas Metropolis to tackle Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

The 2 groups met in Arrowhead Stadium not way back in Week 16, because the Chiefs coasted to a 36-10 victory. The Steelers had three turnovers and did not rating any factors within the first half, however this crew shall be motivated to ship Roethlisberger out with a powerful efficiency. After beginning 10-2, Roethlisberger has misplaced seven out of his final 10 playoff video games. Nevertheless, he has a career-high seven game-winning drives this season. If Pittsburgh can discover a option to hold it shut, something can occur.

Beneath, we’ll study the totally different betting angles for this matchup. We’ll present picks from each CBS Sports activities and SportsLine specialists on this AFC showdown, in addition to a couple of participant props that we view as engaging. 

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

Learn how to watch 

Date: Sunday, Jan. 16 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas Metropolis, Missouri)
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (strive free of charge)
Odds: Chiefs -12.5, O/U 46

Steelers at Chiefs unfold picks

Newest Odds:

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

“It was in Week 16 when the Steelers have been blown out, 36-10, by the Chiefs. They barely competed in that sport, however they’re again because the final wild card crew within the AFC. Do not count on one other blowout like that one. The Steelers are more healthy now and have a coach in Mike Tomlin who is aware of the way to win within the playoffs. The Chiefs have had defensive points the previous two weeks, which could possibly be an issue. The Steelers cannot cease the run, however the Chiefs do not run it that a lot, and in the event that they do this takes away the power of their crew. That is why I believe this one shall be shut. The Steelers will hold round, however the Chiefs will win it.” — CBS Sports activities Senior NFL author Pete Prisco likes the Steelers to cowl the large unfold. To learn the remainder of his wild card picks, click on right here.

“To tug off the upset, the Steelers are going to wish to place some severe stress on Patrick Mahomes and power him into making a number of errors. Of Kansas Metropolis’s 5 losses this 12 months, 4 of them got here in video games the place Mahomes threw a minimum of one interception. If the Steelers protection is nice at one factor, it is attending to the quarterback. Thanks largely to T.J. Watt’s NFL record-tying 22.5 sacks, the Steelers racked up a complete of 55 sacks this 12 months, which led the NFL. Of the 15 video games Watt performed on this 12 months, the Steelers went 8-2-1 when he recorded a minimum of one sack and 0-3 when he did not. If Watt can get to Mahomes a few times, that might give the Steelers an outdoor probability to drag off the upset. 

“However, the largest downside for the Steelers is that if this turns right into a shootout, they merely do not have the firepower to maintain up.” — CBS Sports activities’ John Breech is choosing the Steelers to lose by double digits, however cowl the unfold. To learn the remainder of his wild card picks, click on right here.

“The Steelers snuck their approach into the postseason due to the proper sequence of dominos falling of their favor. Whereas their protection is playoff worthy, the offense is a unique story as they have been barely in a position to common 20 factors a sport all year long with Ben Roethlisberger trying like a quarterback very a lot on his final leg. If Pittsburgh performs because it did all year long, it is arduous to check a situation the place Kansas Metropolis would not run away with this sport. I believe that is going to be similar to the earlier matchup between these two groups in Week 16 the place the Chiefs hung 30 earlier than the Steelers may even get on the board. It is also value noting that the Steelers have not been in a position to string optimistic video games collectively as they’re 1-4 ATS following their final 5 wins.” — Tyler Sullivan is not fazed by the large unfold. He is on the Chiefs. To learn his Wild Card column, click on right here.

A former lead author for Covers and The Linemakers, SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein combines an enormous community of Vegas sources with an analytical method he honed whereas working for Professional Soccer Focus. This season he has been on fireplace. Hartstein is 67-45 together with his final 112 sides, for a revenue of greater than $1,600. As well as, Hartstein has gone an astounding 22-8 on his final 30 picks involving Kansas Metropolis, returning $1300 to $100 bettors. We will inform you he is leaning Over, however you’ll want to try his in opposition to the unfold decide over at SportsLine

Steelers at Chiefs complete picks

Newest Odds:

Underneath 46

“These two groups scored 46 complete factors of their first matchup this season, which is precisely the place Vegas drew the road for his or her playoff rematch. The Steelers common 20.2 factors per sport, which ranks No. 21 within the league, whereas the Chiefs common 28.2 factors per sport, which ranks fourth. Whereas the Chiefs are 10-7 to the Over this 12 months, they’re 4-5 to the Over at residence, and 1-2 when the road is 45 to 48 factors. The Steelers will not mild up the scoreboard, so the lean is to the Underneath.” — CBS Sports activities’ Jordan Dajani

Earlier than you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs picks and predictions, you will need to see what the SportsLine Projection Mannequin is saying. The mannequin, which simulates each NFL sport 10,000 instances, is up over $7,400 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years in the past. The mannequin enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an unbelievable 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season. To see what the mannequin is saying in regards to the unfold and the whole on this AFC postseason showdown, head on over to SportsLine

Participant props

Darrel Williams receiving yards: Over 22.5 (-115). Operating again Clyde Edwards-Helaire has already been dominated out with a shoulder harm, so Williams must be the main rusher for Kansas Metropolis. He additionally has an opportunity to make an influence as a receiver. A pair instances this 12 months he is exploded within the passing sport. Towards the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10, he caught 9 passes for 101 yards. Williams has recorded a minimum of 27 receiving yards in a sport eight instances this season regardless of seven “begins.”

Ben Roethlisberger passing yards: Over 225.5 (-115). Roethlisberger is averaging 233.8 passing yards per sport. That is not extremely excessive, however in opposition to the Chiefs, there’s at all times an opportunity your quarterback may spend nearly all of the matchup passing the ball. It is probably Huge Ben’s final sport. Let him throw the ball round. 

Harrison Butker made area targets: Over 1.5 (-160). A bit juicy, however throw it right into a same-game parlay. I opened up my Caesars Sportsbook app and parlayed Chiefs -2.5 and Butker Over 1.5 made area targets made for -106 odds. He is made a minimum of two area targets in 10 out of 16 video games performed this 12 months. 


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