NFL Week 5 Picks, Odds: Bengals stun Packers, Rams take out Seahawks, Steelers beat Broncos


Final week was a tough week towards the unfold for yours actually. I used to be fairly down within the dumps, questioning if issues may get any worse. Effectively, all I can say is, thanks City Meyer. It will probably worsen! 

That is essentially the most pub the Jaguars have gotten in fairly a while, however the present storyline in all probability defies the “no press is dangerous press” motto so typically utilized by public relations consultants. It is the one factor being talked about. And never simply on sports activities radio or sizzling take exhibits. The City stuff has consumed textual content and electronic mail threads throughout the nation for the final 5 days. 

And the loopy half is, we’re not even 5 weeks into City’s common season tenure with the Jags. He is issued extra public apologies — whether or not to followers, household, his boss, whoever — than NFL video games coached. It is an unbelievable feat. 

The place does it go from right here? One would THINK issues quiet down if the Jags can discover a win within the subsequent week or two. If not, the strain cooker may get turned up much more. I am fascinated to see how/the place it goes from right here. 

To the picks, might they be higher than final week (mine, not City’s, let’s set the bar a bit of greater this time).

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 5 Picks

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV:
NFL Community, Fox | Stream: Amazon Prime
Comply with: CBS Sports activities App

Newest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks
+2.5

Fading Russell Wilson in prime time appears like a horrible thought. However the Seahawks must be 1-3 at greatest after they bought beat up within the field rating by San Francisco however escaped with a win. The Rams had been do for a letdown final week after beating up on Tom Brady and the Bucs the prior week. Now they’re offended and will come out slinging throughout a questionable Seattle protection. I feel we get a ton of factors on this one and Matthew Stafford and Co. come out forward. 

The choose: Rams 28, Seahawks 24

Props, Greatest Bets: Rams ML

Sunday, 9:20 a.m. ET (London)
TV: 
NFL Community | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Atlanta Falcons
-3

Have a look at this lovely tire fireplace we’re sending abroad. Thankfully for the Brits, Robert Saleh’s crew managed to seek out their first victory towards the Titans on Sunday. New York does not appear to be a staff able to successful quite a lot of video games this yr however they will not be a staff that quits on their coach. And Zach Wilson can sling it man. Simply let him throw a pair extra rockets to Corey Davis like he did towards Tennessee and all of a sudden England could have a number of extra Jets followers lurking about.

If there was a staff to provide them up, it is Atlanta. The Jets probably will not present a lot resistance to Matt Ryan, who confirmed up along with his greatest recreation of the season by far towards Washington on Sunday. (Now if he may simply handle to focus some passes towards both Kyle Pitts or Calvin Ridley …) One benefit for the Jets on this recreation must be going through the Tennessee offense final week, slowing down Derrick Henry after which drawing Arthur Smith’s Atlanta offense this week. I do know Henry finally ended up with an enormous stat line, however his early-game manufacturing was not spectacular and the Jets did a superb job of minimizing his manufacturing. I feel they discover a second win right here or on the very least keep throughout the quantity due to the Falcons lack of ability to play protection towards nearly anybody. 

The choose: Jets 28, Falcons 24

Props, Greatest Bets: Jets +3

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-10

Watching these two groups play in Week 4 you would be onerous pressed to select something apart from the Buccaneers. However there’s a number of components making me “like” the Dolphins on this spot. One, the road is double digits. Two, Tom Brady and his teammates are coming off a loopy emotional week. And three, Brian Flores has first rate historical past (let’s ignore that 43-0 shellacking the primary time) slowing down Brady. It is a pure letdown play and I feel the Bucs will likely be content material to take a pair pictures, pound Leonard Fournette and get out with a reasonably shut win.

The Decide: Bucs 27, Dolphins 21

Bets: Go

Saints at Washington Soccer Crew

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Washington Soccer Crew
+2

The most recent proof 2021 is wild: Sean Payton’s offense is backside half of the league by DVOA and Ron Rivera’s protection is backside 5 within the league by the identical metric. Payton we will at the least chalk as much as the departure of Drew Brees and absence of Michael Thomas, though this specific unit is transferring at a sloth’s tempo, which speaks fairly strongly to Payton’s religion in Jameis Winston at this level. Rivera’s protection is totally astonishing. The WFTs have given up practically 1,200 passing yards, 7.4 yards per play and has allowed opposing quarterbacks to hit on over 67 p.c of their passes. Is that this a get-right spot for both staff? Sean Payton has a superb report successful video games off a loss. Neither Rivera nor Payton has a large leg up on their head-to-head report with their time within the NFC South collectively. Washington can put up sufficient factors to steal this one at house.

The Decide: WFT 35, Saints 28

Bets: Go

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers
PK

The Broncos are a extremely popular AFC West upstart after their sizzling begin with Teddy Bridgewater beneath middle. The Steelers, in the meantime, are the butt of many NFL jokes and folks declaring how WASHED Ben Roethlisberger is. He nearly actually is washed at this level, however there’s sufficient left within the tank for him to summon up a robust house efficiency as a small favourite. Particularly in every week when Ben’s camp is letting it leak he is being “hamstrung” by Mike Tomlin and OC Matt Canada. I’d assume everybody and their brother is on the Broncos right here due to the Steelers struggles and the notion they’re cratering into oblivion, so I am simply going to pivot the opposite manner with a small quantity. Long run I am promoting Pittsburgh however it is a first rate purchase spot with a harmful protection presumably drawing the turnover inclined Drew Lock.

The Decide: Steelers 21, Broncos 13

Bets: Steelers -1.5

Titans at Jaguars

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Jacksonville Jaguars
+4.5

Would not it’s unbelievable if Meyer bought his first win in a large divisional recreation after the final week or so? The Jaguars are DFL in DVOA towards the cross, however truly round common towards the run. We noticed them in Cincinnati put up a superb battle towards Joe Mixon. Will the Titans be prepared to aggressively push issues downfield within the passing recreation to benefit from Jacksonville’s weak spot? They may not even have the personnel for it, relying on the standing of A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Greater than probably the Titans will try to lean on Derrick Henry like final week towards the Jets and it may get them in hassle towards a good run protection. Then again, Henry averages 101.3 (!) yards per recreation towards the Jags in his profession together with 11 touchdowns in 10 video games. Plus, City mainly set the Jags mini-bye on fireplace — he was answering questions on Ohio, not Tennessee, as late as Wednesday — and it is lots tougher to prep for a recreation whenever you’ve bought ……. different ……. issues in your life to take care of. If the Jags had been catching a landing or extra a la the Jets I would roll with however give me the Titans to cowl the quick quantity.

The Decide: Titans 31, Jaguars 23

Bets: Go

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Minnesota Vikings
-9.5

The Vikings seemed about as uninspired as an NFL membership can towards the Browns final week. After a fast rating from Kirk Cousins to Justin Jefferson, issues went sideways and the Vikings did not rating a single level the remainder of the best way. It was powerful to look at, particularly with Baker Mayfield struggling simply as badly for Cleveland. Dalvin Cook dinner continues to be banged up, so the guess right here is the Vikes lean on Kirk Cousins and air it out a bit of bit to get a lead after which lean on Alexander Mattison to shut issues out. Detroit will in all probability mount one among their patented second half surges, making the backdoor a harmful risk. However the Vikings badly want a convincing win on this spot and I feel they handle to get it.

The Decide: Vikings 35, Lions 21

Bets: Vikings -7.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Houston Texans
+9

The over/beneath for this recreation is a sturdy 39.5, which is about as little as you may see an NFL recreation within the yr 2021. That is to not say it will possibly’t simply hit: Pats unders are fairly sturdy for the reason that departure of Tom Brady led to a extra conservative offense. Mac Jones is definitely passing greater than you’d assume, however it is a smash spot for Damien Harris and the Patriots working recreation to take over. It reminds precisely of the Pats solely win this season, a 25-6 thumping of rookie Zach Wilson and the Jets on the street in Week 2. David Culley and the Texans can put together all they need, however Invoice Belichick destroys younger quarterbacks in dangerous spots and Davis Mills qualifies. New England in all probability should not be nine-point street favorites, but it surely’s troublesome to think about them being locked up in a decent one with Houston given the Pats relative strengths.

The Decide: Patriots 21, Texans 7

Bets: Beneath 39.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
+3

Aaron Rodgers just lately admitted he does not like enjoying in Cincinnati, for no matter purpose. (Such is life being on a podcast with John Breech. You are always being fed pro-Bengals propaganda.) The Bengals presently profile because the fifth-best protection in soccer by DVOA and are notably stout towards the run. I feel they’ll restrict Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. Moreover, when Joe Mixon is out — and he must be right here — Cincy morphs from an early-down run offense to a extra pass-friendly unit. Get Joe Burrow cooking towards a secondary with out Jaire Alexander and with Tee Higgins again within the fold and we may see some fireworks. I am backing AMERICA’S NEW TEAM THE CINCINNATI BENGALS to win this recreation OUTRIGHT. No this is not Stockholm Syndrome. I am simply stealing the Bengals from Breech, proper out from beneath his nostril.

The Decide: Bengals 31, Packers 28

Bets: Bengals +3, Over 51

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Carolina Panthers
-3

The Panthers have been busy bees in the case of bolstering their secondary. First they commerce for C.J. Henderson and now they’ve added former DPOY Stephon Gilmore through a commerce on Wednesday with New England. Gilmore will not be out there for this recreation however buying him ought to bolster Carolina’s roster with the idea this staff is attempting to win now. I began out in search of methods to speak myself into the Eagles holding it inside this small quantity, however I am unsure I can get there. The Eagles saved it nearer with Kansas Metropolis than the rating would point out, however the Panthers protection is miles higher than the Chiefs. And whereas Carolina’s offensive line is far worse than KC’s and Sam Darnold isn’t equal to Patrick Mahomes, Joe Brady and Co. have accomplished sufficient transferring Darnold round and giving him designed runs to mitigate the strain from Philly’s entrance. If Christian McCaffrey comes again, it is only a bonus.  

The Decide: Panthers 28, Eagles 21

Bets: Panthers -4

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders
-5.5

All eyes will likely be on this recreation with Justin Fields making his “franchise quarterback” debut (final week he was simply spot beginning for Andy Dalton, that is the true factor, welcome to the Bears!). Chicago, slightly annoyingly, did this very same factor with Mitchell Trubisky again in 2017. However it is a significantly better matchup for Fields than Trubisky who drew the 2017 Vikings and the league’s No. 1 ranked protection. Fields will get a better-than-advertised Raiders protection however that is nonetheless a mean unit. If — AND I REPEAT IF — Matt Nagy can scheme up some stuff to help his rookie quarterback by slicing the sphere in half, rolling him out in play-action spots and using designed runs to intensify Fields’ strengths, this could possibly be a very nice debut. It is an improve for Darnell Mooney, Allen Robinson and Cole Kmet for positive, even when David Montgomery will likely be absent. If Nagy does not assist his quarterback, the Raiders will roll and the requires his head will justifiably enhance. Derek Carr and the Raiders will search for a bounceback after a tough efficiency towards the Chargers, however I am unsure this is a perfect touchdown spot with the quick week. 

The Decide: Bears 21, Raiders 20

Bets: Bears +5.5

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Dallas Cowboys
-7

Daniel Jones is quietly enjoying the very best soccer of his profession. Sadly for the Giants … so is Dak Prescott. Dak may not truly win Comeback Participant of the Yr this season if he is too busy taking house MVP. And he ought to be capable of bolster his numbers towards a leaky Giants protection, (though credit score to them for limiting Atlanta and New Orleans the final two weeks). The quantity here’s a bit massive, although, with Dimes able to torching groups along with his legs in the identical manner that league-leading speeding TD scorer Sam Darnold was capable of mild them up. Kenny Golladay is beginning to get going and Jones must be compelled to throw a ton with the Cowboys able to scoring after which leaning on Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys protection is far improved however the Giants will be capable of pile up rubbish time stats and worst case storm in by way of the backdoor.

The Decide: Cowboys 35, Giants 31

Bets: Over

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-5

The Cardinals are for actual, little doubt about it. Kliff Kingsbury must be the COY chief and Kyler Murray must be the MVP frontrunner. Veteran additions like A.J. Inexperienced and J.J. Watt are paying off for GM Steve Keim. However in a divisional matchup of two groups inside an inexpensive skillset stage, that is simply too many factors. The Playing cards in all probability aren’t bothering to organize for Jimmy Garoppolo, understanding the chatter about him enjoying was probably a smokescreen. Getting ready for Trey Lance is not simple, although. We’d see the 49ers uncork a 2012-WFT model playbook on this one, simply unleashing learn possibility and RPOs out the wazoo. Personally I’m WAY extra involved about Trent Williams and Alex Mack enjoying than Jimmy G. Or simply about anybody on the roster. If each these guys are down, I’d again off this choose, however I feel the 49ers pull off the upset on the street right here and we see some magic out of Lance on the offensive facet of issues.

The Decide: 49ers 31, Cardinals 28

Bets: SF +5.5

Browns at Chargers

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers
-2

Didn’t count on this to be a matchup of 3-1 AFC heavyweights however right here we’re. This can be a enjoyable chess battle too as a result of the Chargers are a run funnel and easily lock down opposing passing video games. The Browns love that! Baker Mayfield was sizzling trash final week towards the Vikings however his staff nonetheless bought the win. If the Chargers can in some way decelerate the run by loading up the field and power Mayfield to throw, that is an even bigger benefit than what their protection has been doing the primary few weeks of the season. The Browns, in the meantime, have the third general protection by DVOA proper now. They’re fairly good too! I’d count on we see the Chargers hold attempting to work Austin Ekeler and possibly have some success. It should be an superior recreation. Give me the Bolts in an exciting afternoon matchup.

The Decide: Chargers 21, Browns 17

Bets: Chargers -1.5

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
-2.5

After which that is the night time recreation? What a weekend of motion. I am positive some individuals will likely be in on the beneath right here and I do not blame them based mostly on the insanely excessive complete. No probability I get in entrance of this transferring practice, although. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen may put up some big-time numbers on this recreation, even with the Payments enjoying some actually good protection (No. 1 in DVOA) currently. It is onerous to think about their greatest effort nullifying the Chiefs, though Buffalo successful would not shock me. Given the stakes and the stage and the home-field benefit, I am going to nonetheless take the Chiefs right here. However this recreation is simply going to be superior. Sit again and revel in it.

The Decide: Chiefs 41, Payments 35

Bets: Chiefs -2.5

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Baltimore Ravens
-7

Assuming TNF and SNF ship, may this be our first prime-time snoozer of the yr? Each single massive recreation has been excellent theater on a prime-time stage. I do not assume the Ravens will simply utterly steamroll the Colts and it was good to see indicators of life from Carson Wentz and Indy final week in South Florida. However it is a completely different animal. John Harbaugh and Lamar Jackson at house are an issue. Indy’s truly sporting a superb rush protection however I feel we will count on some pictures down the sphere to Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews. If the Ravens can get vertical they’ll put the Colts in a tough place needing to return again. 

The Decide: Ravens 24, Colts 14

Bets: Go





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