So I suppose it is nonetheless doable for me to have a successful week on this column. I used to be beginning to marvel after a few 1-1-1 weeks if I used to be destined to push and pay the vig for the remainder of my life.
However due to a ridiculous comeback by the Detroit Lions that would not have occurred with out the Chicago Bears’ whole ineptitude, I can take into account myself a winner. Hopefully, this week I can maintain that going and perhaps even publish a 3-0 week. Stranger issues have occurred!
Falcons at Chargers
Newest Odds:
Chargers
+2.5
Fading Anthony Lynn and the Chargers labored properly final week, however I am not as snug doing so with the Falcons as highway favorites on this spot. Do not get me incorrect, I feel the Falcons will cowl this unfold, however betting on their crew whole is a safer play. The Chargers have allowed no less than 27 factors in 9 straight video games. They’ve allowed no less than 21 factors in each sport this season however one, and that one was the season-opener towards Cincinnati in Joe Burrow’s first NFL begin (and not using a preseason). That is an terrible protection we’re coping with right here. Whenever you mix that terrible protection with a few of the worst particular groups protection models within the league, you get a crew that bleeds factors to opponents. So as a substitute of worrying in regards to the unfold or whole, I’ll depend on the Falcons scoring factors.
Projected rating: Falcons 28, Chargers 24
Greatest wager: Falcons Over 25.5 (-110)
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Saints at Eagles
So the Eagles are going from Carson Wentz to Jalen Hurts, and whereas Wentz has been terrible and deserves to be benched, it isn’t like he is been the Eagles’ solely drawback. That is only a unhealthy Philadelphia crew we’re coping with, and one with a variety of accidents. Jalen Hurts is not going to come back in and repair something on his personal. We’re speaking a few rookie who made a number of good performs towards Inexperienced Bay, however he nonetheless completed with solely 5 completions in 12 move makes an attempt whereas enjoying in largely garbage-time situations. Now he is being requested to make his first profession begin towards one of many NFL’s finest defenses (the Saints rank second in defensive DVOA). Additionally, do you know that over the past two seasons, the Saints are 8-0 each straight up and towards the unfold with out Drew Brees? You do now! Additionally, NFC East groups are solely 12-18 ATS outdoors the division this season.
Projected rating: Saints 27, Eagles 14
Greatest wager: Saints -7 (-105)
Steelers at Payments
The Steelers blew it towards Washington on Monday. That they had a 14-3 lead at halftime and will’ve been capable of maintain on and stay undefeated, however they did not. They regarded like a drained crew within the second half, and for good motive: it was their second sport in 5 days and third in 15. Properly, this sport will likely be their third sport in 12 days. That is not simple for anyone to cope with, not to mention a Steelers crew coping with accidents. That cancels out the very fact the Payments are enjoying on a brief week right here. Plus, whereas the Payments have struggled defensively to cease the run this yr, that does not fear me, contemplating the Steelers do not even run the ball anymore.
Projected rating: Payments 24, Steelers 20
Greatest wager: Payments -2.5 (-115)
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Document |
Models |
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Final Week |
2-1 |
0.9 |
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Season |
19-17-3 |
0.3 |
