NFL Week 13 odds, picks: Titans cowl vs. Browns, Saints edge Falcons, Rams over Cardinals


Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season is formally within the books, and it was the longest week in NFL historical past. The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers lastly wrapped up the present week on Wednesday, as Ben Roethlisberger and Co. escaped with a 19-14 win. As for my picks, I am dominating in the case of straight-up however have been very unfortunate in the case of towards the unfold. After spending just about your entire recreation up double digits, the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs could not cowl 3.5 factors towards the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baker Mayfield’s inaccuracy on third and inches within the fourth quarter price me a canopy towards the Jacksonville Jaguars after which Isaiah Simmons price me a possible win due to a questionable penalty which led to a game-winning discipline purpose for the New England Patriots. Simply brutal losses. Nevertheless, we did name the Tennessee Titans upsetting the Indianapolis Colts and the Carolina Panthers giving the Minnesota Vikings a detailed recreation. 

Sadly, we get no “Thursday Evening Soccer” this week, however there are nonetheless loads of different matchups to get excited for. Under I provides you with my high 5 picks of Week 13, adopted by the remainder of the bunch. Let’s leap in. 

All NFL odds are by way of William Hill Sportsbook.  

High 5 picks file: 25-34-1
Total ATS file: 87-83-5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

All Hail King Henry. The reigning dashing champion rushed for 178 yards and three touchdowns on 27 carries towards the Colts this previous Sunday, and all three of these scores — together with 140 yards — got here within the first half! Derrick Henry simply will get higher because the season goes on, and there are stats to show it.

In December and January since 2018 (together with the playoffs), Henry leads all gamers in rushes per recreation (23.1), dashing yards per recreation (135.0) and dashing touchdowns (16). That is a 16-game tempo of two,160 yards when you have been curious, and the NFL file for dashing yards in a season is 2,105, which was set by Eric Dickerson in 1980. Henry kicked off his “second half of the season” in an enormous approach this previous Sunday, and we might see one thing comparable this Sunday towards the protection that gave up 128 dashing yards to James Robinson final week. The Browns have been in a position to escape with a 27-25 win over the Jaguars in Week 12, however this was a matchup wherein the Browns ought to have dominated. Whereas Nick Chubb and Jarvis Landry have been unbelievable, Mayfield was as soon as once more inconsistent and Cleveland’s protection made Mike Glennon — who hadn’t began a recreation since 2017 — look fairly good. The Brownies are 1-5 towards the unfold of their final six video games, and have a -21 level differential. That makes them simply the second 8-3 crew (or higher) to be outscored by way of 11 video games within the Tremendous Bowl period. I do stay up for watching Henry and Chubb battle it out, however the Titans reclaimed first place within the AFC South final week and so they aren’t wanting again.

Projected rating: Titans 31-24
The decide: Titans -6

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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Not a lot went proper for the Colts throughout their 45-26 beatdown this previous Sunday. As we beforehand talked about, the Colts protection struggled to include Henry, the secondary gave up a couple of huge performs to A.J. Brown and Corey Davis, star left deal with Anthony Castonzo was injured which damage the road as an entire and Philip Rivers was inaccurate. Each quarterback has misfires over the course of a recreation, however a few of Rivers’ throws legitimately rattled me.

Rivers didn’t observe on Wednesday resulting from a toe damage, and Castonzo missed observe together with his knee damage. I am positive Rivers will swimsuit up on Sunday, however this Colts crew is banged up and so they do not have a lot going for them proper now.

As for the Texans, they’re coming off of a 41-25 blowout of the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving. Deshaun Watson registered considered one of his finest video games of the season, as he accomplished 17 of 25 passes for 318 yards and 4 touchdowns. He was unstoppable throwing the ball downfield, and finally obtained Lions head coach Matt Patricia and common supervisor Bob Quinn fired — for which Lions followers have been very grateful. It positive appeared just like the Texans have been on the upswing, however then star huge receiver Will Fuller and cornerback Bradley Roby have been suspended for the remainder of the season resulting from PED violations. These are huge hits suffered on either side of the ball, however the Texans are on a protracted week and using a two-game win streak. Current historical past signifies that the Colts ought to register a rebound win and canopy the unfold, however when has something adopted the course of logic this season? I’ll take the Texans to upset the Colts. 

Projected rating: Texans 23-21
The decide: Texans +3.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

We do not have to speak a lot in regards to the Saints beating a Denver Broncos crew that did not have a quarterback, however wow, how about these Falcons? A 43-6 win over the Las Vegas Raiders is actually noteworthy, however they have been aided by the 5 turnovers Jon Gruden’s crew had. Has this Falcons crew discovered its rhythm, or will we glance again on Atlanta’s Week 12 win as an outlier? Simply two weeks in the past, the Saints blew out the Falcons by a rating of 24-9 regardless of Taysom Hill making his first NFL begin at quarterback. He threw for 233 yards, however actually damage the Falcons together with his ft, as he rushed 10 occasions for 51 yards and two touchdowns. The Saints are on an eight-game win streak and shortly changing into one of many favorites to win the NFC — even with their backup quarterback calling the photographs. I count on this second assembly to be nearer, however I actually like the two.5-point line. 

Projected rating: Saints 27-23
The decide: Saints -2.5

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

Usually I might steer clear of this NFC West grudge match, however I am frightened about Kyler Murray’s shoulder. It was clear he was battling it in direction of the tip of Arizona’s loss to the Seattle Seahawks, after which he threw for simply 170 yards and an interception throughout the Cardinals’ loss to the Patriots on Sunday. Murray additionally hasn’t seemed like the identical dual-threat weapon, as he has rushed simply 5 occasions in every of the final two video games after recording at the least 10 rushes in every of the earlier 4 matchups. Below Sean McVay, the Rams are 6-0 towards the unfold vs. the Cardinals and are masking by a mean of 15.2 factors per recreation. That is excellent. They did slip up towards the San Francisco 49ers final week, however ought to rebound if Murray is just not one hundred pc wholesome. He once more was a restricted participant in observe on Wednesday.  

Projected rating: Rams 31-26
The decide: Rams -3.5

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

The Payments are off to San Francisco … scratch that. They’re off to Arizona after Santa Clara County carried out new restrictions. Keep in mind what occurred when Buffalo performed on this constructing final month?

Who is aware of if they are going to be motivated to avenge that powerful loss at State Farm Stadium, however the Payments do have some issues going for them. They rebounded from the Week 10 loss by defeating the Los Angeles Chargers, 27-17. Buffalo has scored at the least 27 factors in its final three video games, whereas the 49ers have solely scored over 20 factors as soon as with Nick Mullens below middle over the past three weeks. It was sufficient to defeat the Rams this previous week, however I do not suppose the 49ers can sustain with the Payments on the scoreboard. Buffalo has lined in every of its final three video games, and I feel they make it 4 straight on Monday night time. 

Projected rating: Payments 27-23
The decide: Payments -1

Different Week 13 picks

Raiders (-8) 28-17 over Jets
Dolphins (-11.5) 30-10 over Bengals
Lions (+3) 23-21 over Bears
Vikings 27-24 over Jaguars (+10.5)
Seahawks (-10) 31-20 over Giants
Chargers (PICK) 26-24 over Patriots
Packers (-8.5) 30-21 over Eagles
Chiefs 34-24 over Broncos (+14)

To be up to date:

Washington at Steelers (OFF)
Cowboys at Ravens (OFF) 



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