NFL Week 11 greatest bets: Vikings upset Aaron Rodgers’ Packers and extra of Jason La Canfora’s picks


I hope you could have been fading me! The final three weeks have been filled with weird outcomes within the NFL, and I’m in a deep funk. Yeah, 1-5 is about as dangerous because it will get. That is like New York Jets dangerous.

I can not seem to get a deal with on a lot, and even final week selecting only a single recreation introduced me no higher luck. Not even shut. However I really feel like this sort of wild variance within the league cannot go on ceaselessly and that that is one thing of a blip. Parity could rule, however the surprising upsets must decelerate in some unspecified time in the future, proper? I am sufficiently old to recollect six weeks in the past when there have been so many blowouts and seemingly-overmatched groups that these traces began skyrocketing within the first place.

So the pendulum has to swing again finally and I’m hoping to experience it … Or perhaps I will simply by no means decide a winner once more.

Anyway, right here is to going again to attempting to get out of this rut. Oh, to be 12-5 once more. Looks like an extended, very long time in the past.

Newest Odds:

Miami Dolphins
-3.5

For the final three weeks Miami’s protection has been on a roll. They’re beginning to deploy extra of their athletes blitzing out of nickel seems and throwing warning just a little extra to the wind with their blitz seems. Per PFF, Miami threw Cowl-0 seems at Lamar Jackson 19 occasions final week; solely two QBs not named Lamar have greater than 19 drop-backs in opposition to Cowl-0 all season – Josh Allen (25) and Jalen Hurts (21). And it labored fairly properly. The Jets OL is dangerous too, and new starter Joe Flacco is very motionless — that could be a dangerous mixture when two super-amped up safeties are attacking your backfield. The Jets offensive employees has had loads of points. And Tua is a significantly better choice at QB for the Dolphins than Jacoby Brissett, as evidenced in opposition to final week even when Tua hadn’t practiced shortly and got here in chilly. The Jets protection is god terrible and 40-burgers have been all the fashion in opposition to them these days. I do not know that Miami will get there, given a few of their accidents and limitations, however one thing like 24-10 feels about proper.

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Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
-1

Simply do not let Maxx Crosby and Yannick Ngakoue wreak havoc right here, Bengals, and you can be in fine condition. Loads of Joe Mixon working at these ends is so as. We noticed what occurred when the Chiefs took what was there, and the Raiders must respect the Bengals’ many weapons within the passing recreation as properly. The bye got here on the excellent time for Cincy to reset and get wholesome, whereas the Raiders are coming off a loss to the Chiefs that places them at a crossroads. They have not closed a season sturdy in a very long time and Joe Burrow might be feeling as refreshed and renewed as he has in fairly a while. The Bengals protection will not be pretty much as good because it appeared the primary six weeks, however I additionally do not consider it may be as constantly dangerous shifting ahead because it was within the final two weeks earlier than their bye.

Newest Odds:

Minnesota Vikings
+1

The Vikings are a difficult crew to attempt to determine. However they do have expertise they usually did lastly get a win in opposition to the Packers a 12 months in the past, and that is just about their season in the event that they wish to have an opportunity to compete for an NFC North title. Inexperienced Bay’s offense has been just a little off the final two weeks, partially as a result of Jordan Love needed to truly play in a type of video games, however I do surprise about Aaron Rodgers, as COVID-19 can definitely linger in gamers and influence them for weeks after a constructive take a look at. The Vikings will sit again in that shell and attempt to make Inexperienced Bay earn the whole lot on offense, and I do assume dropping Aaron Jones – on high of their different accidents – is an enormous deal. The Packers’ protection is taking part in glorious ball, however Minnesota sticks with high-percentage passing performs, Kirk Cousins has not been turning the ball over, and Minnesota can also be among the best first-quarter offenses within the NFL; a quick begin right here could be very important for a crew that hasn’t been nice at dwelling. I see moneyline potential right here, as a Minny win wouldn’t shock me within the least. If yow will discover a wager on a loopy ending of some type, although, take it, as a result of that has been the script just about each week for the Vikings.



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