Only one sport separates 4 groups from representing their respective convention and enjoying in Tremendous Bowl LV. As we strategy Championship Sunday, the slate is essentially what we anticipated from our picks heading into the divisional spherical. We went 3-1 on the moneyline over the weekend with the Buccaneers upsetting the Saints as the one miss. We did notice that contest was going to be a lot nearer than their earlier two matchups, however being shut admittedly solely counts in horseshoes. 

As we sit up for Sunday, the quarterback matchups are field workplace. We now have the outdated guard going toe-to-toe within the NFC as Tom Brady and his Bucs are heading into Lambeau Area to face the Packers. In the meantime, the AFC boasts the brand new wave with Patrick Mahomes and the Tremendous Bowl champion Chiefs, who’ll host Josh Allen and the Payments. 

Who do we predict goes to punch their ticket to Tampa? Let’s discover out. 

All NFL odds through William Hill Sportsbook. 

Buccaneers at Packers 

Sunday, 3:05 p.m. ET (FOX)

I am principally fading the concept the Buccaneers have Aaron Rodgers‘ quantity by predicting that the Packers will win and canopy over Tampa Bay. Inexperienced Bay’s Week 6 loss is of course garnering numerous consideration this week because it was undoubtedly Rodgers’ worst sport of what’s promised to be an MVP season. He accomplished simply 46% of his passes for 160 yards and threw two interceptions (each leading to eventual touchdowns). I simply have a tough time believing that lightning will strike twice in that regard, particularly with this newest sport at Lambeau Area. If you happen to take away that efficiency towards the Bucs, Rodgers has accomplished 72% of his throws for a mean of 277.2 yards passing to go together with 50 touchdowns to only three interceptions in each different sport he is performed this 12 months (together with playoffs). I’m additionally throwing out Rodgers’ 1-3 report within the convention championship with the data that every of these video games was performed on the street. Much more so than most quarterbacks, Rodgers is dynamite at residence. 

As for the Buccaneers, whereas they’ve the offensive firepower to maintain up with Rodgers’ offense, I nonetheless have questions on their protection. Throughout Tremendous Wild-Card Weekend, they made Taylor Heinicke appear like Steve Younger, and beating the corpse of Drew Brees, who was unable to throw the deep ball, is hardly spectacular. Rodgers is a completely totally different animal, who’s extraordinarily motivated to get revenge on this unit. 

Projected rating: Packers 28, Buccaneers 24
My choose: Packers -3

Payments at Chiefs 

Sunday, 6:40 p.m. ET (CBS)

I have been saying this for no less than your entire second half of the season: Buffalo is likely one of the few groups within the AFC that may match the offensive firepower of the Chiefs. The emergence of Josh Allen provides the Payments the power to match Patrick Mahomes and the Cheifs throw-for-throw, which makes this a very robust draw for the defending champs. To make issues much more regarding for the defending champions, Patrick Mahomes continues to be within the concussion protocol as of the second I am writing this text. Whereas there’s optimism that he’ll play, it looks like he’ll be lower than 100% because of the reported neck and toe accidents he suffered in Sunday’s win over Cleveland. 

When you may have Mahomes probably going at lower than full pace, it solely provides to the will to lean in the direction of Buffalo. In spite of everything, the Payments are the a lot hotter workforce coming into this AFC title sport. They’re 12-6 ATS on the season, whereas Kansas Metropolis is beneath .500 in that regard at 7-10 ATS. Whereas the Chiefs are 8-0 over their final eight video games with Mahomes underneath heart, they’ve received these contests by six factors or fewer. With Mahomes dinged up and Buffalo a way more deadly workforce offensively than they’ve seen in latest weeks, Kansas Metropolis’s bid to go back-to-back ends simply in need of reaching the Tremendous Bowl. 

Projected rating: Payments 30, Chiefs 23
My choose: Payments +3

Picks File 

Towards the unfold in divisional spherical: 2-2
ATS general: 120-133-11

Straight up in divisional spherical: 3-1
SU general: 178-85-1