There ought to be no overreaction to Florida QB Kyle Trask’s worst sport of his profession in Florida’s Cotton Bowl blowout in NFL circles, we promise.
How do we all know? As a result of the response to his largely terrific 2020 season, at the least in NFL scouting circles, was remarkably ambivalent to start with.
It’s not that NFL scouts hate Trask. They don’t appear to, anyway, at the least not those we’ve spoken to about him. However discovering somebody who loves him would possibly require some actual sleuthing. Now we have but to uncover one who does.
When Trask was within the midst of a scorching statistical run, we positioned him in the midst of Spherical 1 of our first mock draft. After we despatched the mock out to a couple NFL individuals we’ve turn into linked with over the previous a number of years, two of them instantly rained on our parade: Trask gained’t go Spherical 1, they stated.
In his first 9 video games, Trask accomplished 71.4 % of his passes for 3,243 yards, 38 TDs and solely three picks. However you needed to look past the numbers to see what scouts weren’t too enamored with.
For the remainder of the season, it has been a kind of ambiguous photographs (is it an outdated girl? or a boot?) you see in Trask: nice manufacturing, however restricted NFL attraction. As soon as you see the latter, it’s exhausting to unsee it. I went into extra element about these explanation why a number of weeks again.
Wednesday’s sport actually might function affirmation bias for these causes, too, and we’re on no account attempting to excuse away his three first-quarter interceptions. On all three, Trask carried some measure of blame.
These three interceptions
On the primary, he merely stared down his goal — in opposition to zone protection, with eyes within the backfield — for what resulted in a pick-6. The second was the least egregious, however Trask’s throw to TE Kemore Gamble was late and behind him, deflecting off his fingers. The third choose was only a dangerous determination and an underthrow ball in the long run zone.
Regardless of Florida’s later efforts to make it a sport, it was basically over at that time.
Let’s at the least give Trask some credit score. The participant who waited his high-school profession (when he was D’Eriq King’s backup) and two years with the Gators for an opportunity to start out didn’t appear to need to hand over one other shot at enjoying. He went on the market and competed for his college regardless of his 4 main targets — TE Kyle Pitts and WRs Trevon Grimes, Kadarius Toney and Jacob Copeland — sitting the sport out.
In brief, Trask was the captain who went down together with his ship. There’s a sure the Aristocracy in that for positive.
Gamble, who most definitely isn’t Pitts, was focused eight instances; that netted one 13-yard catch and 4 dropped passes, together with the choose that glanced off Gamble’s fingers. WR Rick Wells entered the sport with profession totals of 9 catches and 110 yards. Wells was Trask’s most focused receiver within the sport, with 9 passes in his path.
There have been seven dropped passes. Strain was an issue, too. Florida’s protection and particular groups have been massive issues, too. Trask hung in there regardless of the Gators being in an enormous gap early and him having to cede snaps to Emory Jones all through.
Kyle Trask’s practical NFL outlook
In essence, our analysis of Trask at the moment is similar because it was coming into the Cotton Bowl, regardless of it being the worst outing of his two years as a starter.
That’s as a result of it’s exhausting to not surprise how Trask would function on an NFL staff missing in elite skill-position expertise or in a system that doesn’t have a masterful play designer or caller. Wednesday’s sport gave us a reasonably stark view of his play with no slew of playmakers, and a cautious viewing of a few of Trask’s most prolific video games will see that there have been ample dangerous throws and poor selections in these ones as nicely.
However on the similar time, Trask has sufficient of the good things — tight-window accuracy most video games, unquestioned toughness, no tangible worry of incoming strain — to make us assume he gained’t simply be some NFL burnout.
The query simply turns into: How a lot can he actually add to a staff? That’s why we’ve put him on the Chad Henne-Nick Foles-Mason Rudolph spectrum as a prospect. The primary two have made good little careers as low-end starters/high-end backups who’re prepared at a second’s discover, and the third might be beginning Sunday as a playoff-team alternative.
In truth, a southeastern space scout and I’ve a operating joke about Trask. He’s known as him “Vitamin Okay” — you understand, the group of dietary supplements that truly quietly do a number of good issues for you that you simply by no means see nor actually take into consideration. But in addition: Nobody appears to ever actually die from Vitamin Okay deficiency. (If a cherished certainly one of yours did perish from this affliction, we definitely meant you no hurt.)
If we needed to guess, Trask will carry out fairly nicely on the Senior Bowl, interview and work out nicely in the course of the pre-draft course of. For us, we suspect he’ll find yourself someplace between our seventieth and ninetieth ranked prospect for the 2021 NFL draft. And our greatest guess is that he’ll finally hear his title known as someplace in Rounds 2 or 3 (though Spherical 4 wouldn’t shock us).
If that feels low given Trask’s largely excellent 2020 efficiency, don’t overlook that Russell Wilson, Derek Carr and Andy Dalton — practically 400 profession begins between them and counting — all have been taken on Day 2 of the draft. And if that feels too excessive, we could remind you that Christian Hackenberg, Sean Mannion, Garrett Grayson, Davis Webb and Will Grier all heard their names known as in that vary as nicely.
We suspect Trask’s NFL profession will fall someplace between these two poles. He profiles as a really respectable school soccer participant who will at all times be the NFL starter who leaves you wanting extra and the backup who probably deserves extra reward than he’ll get.
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