The Buffalo Payments will get one other shot at a Tremendous Bowl once they go to the top-seeded Kansas Metropolis Chiefs within the 2021 AFC Championship Recreation on Sunday. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who was cleared from the NFL‘s concussion protocol on Friday, would be the focus of Buffalo’s defensive efforts. The reigning Tremendous Bowl MVP serves as a stark reminder that Kansas Metropolis swung a commerce with the Payments to amass Mahomes with the No. 10 choose within the 2017 NFL Draft. 

Kickoff is about for six:40 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Kansas Metropolis as a three-point favourite, whereas the over-under is 54.5 within the newest Chiefs vs. Payments odds. Earlier than making any Payments vs. Chiefs picks, ensure you see what SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.

A former lead author for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines an unlimited community of Vegas sources with an analytical strategy he honed whereas working for Professional Soccer Focus. Within the 2019 season, he went 58-39 on against-the-spread NFL picks, giving his followers a revenue of greater than $1,500. He additionally heads into this weekend on a 22-10-2 run together with his NFL picks for SportsLine members.

What’s extra, Hartstein has his finger on the Chiefs’ pulse, posting an eye-popping 16-2 file on NFL against-the-spread picks involving Kansas Metropolis. That features nailing Cleveland +10 in final week’s AFC Divisional Playoffs. Anybody who has persistently adopted him is manner up.

Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Payments. You may head to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, listed below are a number of NFL odds and tendencies for Payments vs. Chiefs:

• Payments vs. Chiefs unfold: Kansas Metropolis -3
• Payments vs. Chiefs over-under: 54.5
• Payments vs. Chiefs cash line: Buffalo +140, Kansas Metropolis -160
• BUF: WR Stefon Diggs has at the very least six receptions in a record-tying 15 straight video games
• KC: Chiefs are 0-8-1 in opposition to the unfold of their final 9 video games

Why the Chiefs can cowl

It is no secret Reid prefers to lean on the NFL’s No. 1 passing recreation, but he made a key adjustment beneath antagonistic situations in a Week 6 matchup in Buffalo. Reid opted to pound away on the Payments with the bottom recreation, leading to a 26-17 victory for Kansas Metropolis. The Chiefs rolled up 245 speeding yards on 46 makes an attempt, controlling the clock for practically 38 minutes and limiting the Payments to a season-worst 206 whole yards. 

Rookie operating again Clyde Edwards-Helaire did a lot of the injury in opposition to Buffalo with a season-high 161 yards on 26 carries. The primary-round select of LSU was restricted in observe this week resulting from an ankle damage that compelled him to sit down out the previous three video games. Darrel Williams earned the beginning in final week’s divisional-round win over Cleveland and rushed for 78 yards on 13 carries.

Why the Payments can cowl

A steadily enhancing Buffalo protection surrendered a median of 18.3 factors over the ultimate six video games of the common season and held Baltimore to a subject aim within the Divisional Spherical. Two of the staples of the unit are cornerback Tre’Davious White and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, each byproducts of the commerce for Mahomes. White is a lockdown nook who restricted Chiefs star wideout Tyreek Hill to a few catches for 20 yards in Week 6. 

Edmunds, named to the Professional Bowl together with White, has registered 9 tackles in three straight video games and is tied with fellow linebacker Matt Milano with three passes defensed within the 2021 NFL Playoffs.

Milano missed the primary matchup in opposition to Kansas Metropolis resulting from damage, however his affect on the sphere is plain. The Payments have gained all 12 video games began by Milano, whereas the protection has permitted a median of 18.6 factors in these contests.

Find out how to make Chiefs vs. Payments picks

Hartstein has analyzed this matchup, and whereas he is leaning over on the full, he has found a essential X-factor that has him leaping throughout one facet of the unfold. He is solely sharing it right here. 

So who wins Payments vs. Chiefs within the NFL Playoffs 2021? And what essential X-factor makes one facet of the unfold a must-back? Go to SportsLine now to seek out out which facet of the Payments vs. Chiefs unfold you have to leap on Sunday, all from the skilled who’s 16-2 on picks involving Kansas Metropolis, and discover out.