Two NFC West rivals face off for a 3rd time this season in a win-or-go-home scenario, because the Los Angeles Rams host the Arizona Cardinals on Monday night time in a wild-card playoff recreation. Sean McVay and Kliff Kingsbury break up the season collection, however ended the common season in numerous methods. The Cardinals received simply one in all their ultimate 5 video games whereas the Rams received 4 out of their ultimate 5.
J.J. Watt is predicted to return to the beginning lineup for the Cardinals, however is he sufficient to enhance this unit after their worst defensive efficiency of the season towards the Seattle Seahawks in Week 18? The Rams are returning a starter of their very own, as operating again Cam Akers is again after a outstanding restoration from a torn Achilles this previous offseason.
Beneath, we’ll break down this matchup from a playing perspective and study the road motion, Over/Below and participant props to contemplate. First, this is how one can watch Monday night time’s matchup.
All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.
How you can watch
Los Angeles Rams
This line opened at Rams -4.5 final Monday, however dropped to Rams -4 by the tip of the day. On Saturday, the road fell one other half level to Rams -3.5.
The decide: Rams -3.5. “Kyler Murray has traditionally struggled towards L.A. He is 1-5 towards the Rams with seven passing touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Moreover, Arizona had its worst defensive efficiency of the season final week towards the Seattle Seahawks, which isn’t one thing you need to see proper earlier than the playoffs. Perhaps you do not assume the Rams are reliable Tremendous Bowl contenders, however they’ve sufficient expertise to win this recreation towards a workforce that floundered down the stretch.” CBS Sports activities’ Jordan Dajani
“The primary-ever playoff recreation on Monday night time wraps up Tremendous Wild Card Weekend and it is a scorcher, with two NFC West division rivals partaking in a rubber match. Kyler Murray and the Cardinals have been significantly better on the street than at house, however I feel that is likely to be extra noise than sign. The Rams have simply been higher down the stretch, profitable video games regardless of Matthew Stafford struggling at instances and claiming the division. Stafford’s second half efficiency towards the 49ers is a significant purple flag however his first half efficiency ought to encourage hope he can come out and win his first playoff recreation. Kyler Murray’s 1-5 towards the Rams in his profession. Love Sean McVay and Co. on this spot.” — CBS Sports activities’ Will Brinson.
This whole opened at 50.5 final Monday, however fell to 50 by the tip of the day. It fell one other half level to 49.5 on Tuesday. It noticed one other bump as much as 50 for a second on Thursday morning, however finally rested at 49.5.
The decide: Below 49.5: “The weekend’s different divisional matchup offers the chance for us to take advantage of what most of the people thinks will occur. The 2 regular-season conferences noticed 57 factors scored within the first assembly and 53 extra within the second. So why within the hell am I taking an underneath right here when the full is at 49.5? As a result of familiarity breeds two issues: contempt and decrease scores.
“Each groups know the place the opposite will assault them and the way to counter it. Plus, video games simply are usually lower-scoring within the postseason as a result of the depth ratchets up a notch, and coaches will get a bit extra conservative, whether or not deliberately or not. So with all of that in thoughts, I do not assume our Monday night time finale may have the identical sort of fireworks the primary two conferences did, and so long as this quantity stays over 49, I am going underneath. You need to, too.” — CBS Sports activities’ Tom Fornelli on the full for “Monday Night time Soccer.”
Kyler Murray props
Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +110, Below -140)
Passing yards: 254.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
Passing makes an attempt: 33.5 (Over -130, Below +100)
Passing completions: 23.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Longest passing completion: 36.5 (Over -120, Below -110)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +110, Below -140)
Speeding makes an attempt: 6.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Speeding yards: 38.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Murray has thrown no less than two touchdowns in half his video games performed this yr, together with as soon as towards the Rams. I am keen to take a flier on the Over because it’s at plus cash. As for passing yards, I just like the Over, as Murray handed for 268 yards in his first assembly with L.A., and 383 yards within the second. I will keep away from passing makes an attempt and completions props on this scenario.
Six out of 10 quarterbacks in Tremendous Wild Card Weekend threw interceptions, and Murray threw two picks towards the Rams the final time these two groups met. With it at plus cash for him to throw one, I will take a flier on that. I am not going to play Murray’s dashing props this time round, however if you would like some motion, take the Over on dashing yards. It is growth or bust there often, but it surely’s enjoyable to root for him within the open subject. Murray averages 30.2 dashing yards per recreation.
Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -190, Below +155)
Passing yards: 272.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Passing makes an attempt: 35.5 (Over -120, Below -110)
Passing completions: 23.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Longest passing completion: 39.5 (Over -120, Below -110)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -125, Below -105)
Speeding yards: 1.5 (Over -115, Below -115)
Stafford handed for no less than 280 yards in each conferences with the Cardinals, so the lean is to the Over on passing yards. Over on passing touchdowns is simply too juicy to play by itself, however throw that right into a same-game parlay in the event you prefer it. I am feeling hesitant about Stafford’s props typically as a result of I ponder how a lot run Akers and Sony Michel are going to get within the backfield.
Betting on Stafford’s dashing yards prop is borderline ridiculous, however possibly throwing the Below in a same-game parlay may very well be enjoyable. He did rush for a season-high 21 yards of their first assembly, however did not scramble in any respect of their second assembly.
Matt Homosexual made additional factors: Over 2.5 (-115). In case you assume the Rams win, I’d take this prop. Homosexual has made no less than three additional factors in 9 out of 17 video games performed this season — together with in his most-recent recreation towards the Cardinals.
Van Jefferson receiving yards: Over 36.5 (-115). The Rams’ large receivers are headlined by Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr., however Jefferson is a reliable weapon as effectively. Keep in mind, he caught a 52-yard bomb from Stafford final time these two groups confronted off. He has additionally crossed this quantity in 11 of 17 video games performed.
Zach Ertz longest reception: Below 20.5 (-125). Ertz crossed this quantity in two out of 11 video games performed for the Cardinals.