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What school soccer video games seem like the very best bets and the very best picks towards the unfold going into Week 11? This week we go West for a number of the extra fascinating predictions of the week.
Week 11 Fearless Predictions, Recreation Previews
– CFN Week 11 Specialists Picks: Faculty
– CFN Week 10 Specialists Picks: NFL
– Week 11 Schedule, Recreation Occasions, Recreation Previews
– ACC | Large Ten | Large 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
– Faculty Soccer Playoff: 25 Immediate Reactions
– Contact/Comply with @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak
Outcomes So Far ATS: 62-48-1
After a rocky run it’s time for a street journey to shake issues up a bit.
This week we go west for many of the 10 finest predictions towards the unfold. There’s a motive for this – there are a TON of handsome matchups – Nevada shouldn’t be an underdog towards San Diego State and Utah State will most likely beat San Jose State outright.
However first come the tried and true basis picks.
Whereas the picks have been up-and-down over the previous few weeks – fewer video games to select from and fewer huge spreads to use like there are in September – the general document continues to be strong due to 4 core beliefs.
When you’ve been with this system, you already know by now that …
1. At all times go over on a degree complete within the mid-30s. Too many issues can go proper, except it’s Military-Air Power, which as soon as once more proved to defy all legal guidelines of logic and motive.
2. At all times go below on a degree complete within the mid-70s. Too many issues can go mistaken, like a torrential downpour late within the Pitt-North Carolina recreation.
3. At all times take the underdog if it’s getting 45 factors or extra. Video games could be blowouts with out being brutal.
Over the lengthy haul, if you happen to follow these three rules you ought to be okay – so long as you’re utilizing common sense, like going over on the Wednesday night time Central Michigan-Kent State madness.
Two of the three are foundations are represented this week, and there’s a fourth tried and true perception that – if you happen to’ve been with this all yr – has carried out you a big-time strong.
We kickoff our journey out west by making a cease on the fourth core perception for 2021. You ALWAYS go towards …
Click on on every recreation for the preview
10. Kansas at Texas
LINE Texas -31
ATS PICK Texas
Full disclosure – I wouldn’t come close to this if it didn’t contain Kansas, however as the person mentioned, you dance with the one which brung ya.
Oklahoma couldn’t get the job carried out towards Kansas towards the unfold a couple of weeks in the past, however that’s been it. 1-8 ATS – together with not overlaying the +24 in a 35-10 loss to Kansas State final week – to proceed an epic heater of a run going again to the start of final yr.
Texas is a large number.
It utterly misplaced its stuff ever since that fourth down run by Caleb Williams midway by the loss to Oklahoma. Nonetheless, as unhealthy as issues look, the 5 groups Texas has misplaced to – at Arkansas, Oklahoma (in Dallas), Oklahoma State, at Baylor, at Iowa State) are all terrific.
What number of occasions as Kansas misplaced by greater than 31? Three within the final seven video games.
No matter. It’s Kansas, there’s a selection, and we keep on the trip till it stops for good.
In order that’s one of many staples. One other basis decide …
– CFN Week 11 Specialists Picks: Faculty
9. New Mexico State at Alabama
LINE Alabama -51.5
ATS PICK New Mexico State
In addition to the gimmicky facet of at all times taking the underdogs with a degree unfold this excessive, this truly isn’t a foul name.
In fact New Mexico State will get annihilated – it misplaced 62-10 to Bama again in early 2019, therefore the quantity – however this model can truly rating just a little bit.
No, it’s not going to maintain up, however all you’re searching for are 10-to-14 factors, and the Aggies can do this.
Mercer bought 14 on this Tide staff again in September. Southern Miss bought rolled 63-14. Neither a type of video games pushed previous the 51.5, and New Mexico State is best.
As at all times with these picks, consider it this fashion – you’re strolling into the stadium up 51-0. It may be a complete wipeout – like 63-14 – and also you’re superb.
Preserving with the weekly foundations, the over.
– CFN Week 10 Specialists Picks: NFL
8. Minnesota at Iowa
LINE 37 Level Whole
ATS PICK Over
Final week in the very same spot I mentioned the very same factor.
Too many issues can go proper with a low 37 level complete, like one staff can get the job carried out all by itself.
Final week right here on the 8: Wisconsin 52, Rutgers 3.
Minnesota scored 41 towards Northwestern. Earlier than that it scored 34 towards Maryland and put up 31 on Nebraska on the best way to hitting the 30-point mark six occasions to date.
The issue is Iowa.
This staff simply doesn’t rating. One thing is mistaken if you happen to’re beating Northwestern 17-12, and sure, I demanded you go over on the low level complete towards Wisconsin. Each groups kind of determined they have been carried out early within the fourth of a 27-7 Badger win.
It’s a degree complete of 37, and it’ll most likely drop.
Earlier than going west, two ACC video games.
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 7: Notre Dame at Virginia
7. Notre Dame at Virginia
LINE 64.5 level complete
ATS PICK Over
You’ve bought some pregame work to do on this one – it begins at 7:30 ET.
There’s a motive that is at 64.5 as a substitute of about 75 – Virginia QB Brennan Armstrong is iffy with injured ribs.
He harm them within the 66-49 loss at BYU, however he’s had two weeks off to relaxation up. Whereas he’s a troublesome man’s powerful man, he’s 50/50.
That’s the rationale the road went from round Notre Dame -5 to -6. Like that both manner – the Irish are higher – and the 64.5 will rocket up quick if Armstrong is a full go.
Just like the over it doesn’t matter what because of a Virginia protection that ought to surrender 40 factors earlier than it hits the sector.
Right here’s the opposite key half – Notre Dame isn’t dumb. It’s nonetheless pushing for the Faculty Soccer Playoff, and after scoring 31 or extra in every of the final 4 video games, it’s going to crank up no matter model factors it might get on a foul Cavalier D.
– Week 11 Schedule, Recreation Occasions, Recreation Previews
6. Miami at Florida State
LINE Miami -2.5
ATS PICK Miami
Yeah, Florida State has been flaky sufficient to be nice at dwelling in a 33-30 win over Syracuse and on the street in a ten-point shocker towards North Carolina. One collapse towards Jacksonville State apart, the staff is a bit higher than the 3-6 document.
And yeah, it’s okay to be frightened of a Miami staff that performs so many shut video games.
And yeah, it is best to most likely keep away if you happen to’re relying on a staff to win in a doable walk-off discipline aim.
Nonetheless, Miami is enjoying too effectively offensively, the run protection has bee nice during the last three weeks, and it ought to be capable to roll by an FSU protection that gave up over 300 yards to NC State’s Devin Leary final week.
It’s Miami, and it’s Florida State. If discipline objectives imply nothing to you on this matchup, I can’t provide help to.
Miami will win by a discipline aim.
And now the street journey is on …
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 5: Air Power at Colorado State
5. Air Power at Colorado State
LINE Air Power -2.5
ATS PICK Air Power
Do you consider that video games between the army academies are at all times their very own separate issues aside from the traditional ebb and circulate of faculty soccer?
Air Power and Military each run the identical types – at the least considerably – they usually’re each in a position to deal with the choice in addition to anybody. That doesn’t translate to different video games.
Colorado State is nice at moving into the backfield and producing strain. A fats lot of excellent that did the Ram D final week after getting hammered by an offensively-challenged Wyoming for 385 speeding yards.
On the whole the Rams have been good towards the run, however they’re by no means going to look like they’ve the ball. In a bizarre manner, their model of protection doesn’t fairly fly contemplating Air Power doesn’t enable a ton of huge issues behind the road.
Colorado State beat New Mexico, San Jose State, and Toledo. That’s it. Air Power ought to be capable to do what it does because it dictates the tempo all through.
You’re solely giving freely 2.5.
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 4: Colorado at UCLA
4. Colorado at UCLA
LINE UCLA -16.5
ATS PICK UCLA
The road moved on this with UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson anticipated to go, however even just a little shift needs to be okay.
I’m shopping for into the concept that the staff simply wanted a break after powerful days on the workplace towards Oregon and Utah.
Throw in that UCLA can get bowl eligible for the primary time since 2017, and that Chip Kelly is on a flaming scorching seat if he doesn’t get the win, and it’s Colorado head coach Karl Dorrell coming again to play this system the place he coached at from 2003 to 2007.
And there’s a very powerful half – the Bruins had two weeks off to relaxation up in mid-November.
Nevertheless it’s greater than that. Colorado is perhaps enjoying a bit higher than it was earlier within the season, however the protection continues to be having issues towards the run permitting effectively over 200 yards in 4 of the final 5 video games.
Give this to the more energizing Bruin strains.
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 3: Utah at Arizona
3. Utah at Arizona
LINE Utah -24
ATS PICK Utah
Arizona was the decision final week on this No. 3 spot – it was written up earlier than Cal’s COVID outbreak.
Cal was lacking 24 gamers and it was nonetheless 3-3 late within the recreation earlier than the Wildcats pulled out a 10-3 victory – the primary within the Jedd Fisch period.
There’s a motive that was such a battle – Arizona is extraordinarily banged up.
Everyone seems to be hurting this time of yr, however the Wildcats didn’t have a complete lot of high quality depth to start with and now they’re battling arduous to get by. Now they’re enjoying the – yeah, I’m going there – finest staff within the Pac-12, at the least in the intervening time.
Total, the Arizona run protection hasn’t been all that unhealthy and held up effectively towards everybody besides UCLA and USC. That’s about to alter in an enormous, huge manner towards 221-pound Tavion Thomas and a Utah floor assault that ran over UCLA for near 300 yards and simply blasted Stanford for 441.
The offensive line has discovered its groove on the proper time.
Throw in Arizona at the moment working lifeless final within the nation in turnover margin, and this isn’t going to be fairly.
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 2: New Mexico at Fresno State
2. New Mexico at Fresno State
LINE Fresno State -24.5
ATS PICK Fresno State
This can be a focus recreation.
Fresno State was all jacked up final week with Boise State coming to city, the place was a sellout, it was going to be the second when this system took over the Mountain West after key wins over Nevada and San Diego State, after which …
(womp womp) Cue the unhappy trombone.
Fresno State couldn’t run, couldn’t throw, and had one in all its worst offensive performances of the yr in a stunning 40-14 loss. However there’s nonetheless time.
San Diego State and Nevada play one another this week. If the winner of that loses as soon as extra and Fresno State wins out, it’ll be Fresno State going to the Mountain West Championship.
Oh, by the best way, New Mexico is terrible.
You don’t lose to UNLV – a program that hadn’t received a recreation since 2019 – if issues are going effectively.
The Lobos scored 17 factors within the loss. That was like Christmas for the offense after failing to attain greater than 14 within the earlier six video games.
Fresno State continues to be at dwelling, it nonetheless has the offense, and it ought to nonetheless be capable to cling up at the least 38 factors on the board towards the mediocre Lobos.
It’d take just a little late push to get there, however the Fresno State offense will open it up.
And at last, we head again from the tour out west by coming again by …
NEXT: Faculty Soccer Decide In opposition to The Unfold No. 1: Michigan at Penn State
1. Michigan at Penn State
LINE Michigan -1.5
ATS PICK Michigan
Okay, take heed to me very, very fastidiously.
For a complete number of causes – loopy unders, Kansas overlaying the unfold for the primary time in two years, Military throwing the ball successfully within the last meaningless moments in a loss, a couple of late line shifts, famine, plagues, pestilence – this decide within the No. 1 spot has been a bomb during the last a number of weeks.
Now, if you happen to consider that you simply by no means, ever, ever mess with a streak – together with a shedding one like this No. 1 decide is on – you trip that factor out till it stops. You may have my permission since all that basically issues is your happiness.
As an investor, discovering one thing constant is the whole lot, and this decide has actually been that.
Nonetheless, a part of the streak being the streak is that the decide must be honest. I can’t simply do the George Costanza reverse factor and attempt to make a prediction that may in some way go horribly mistaken in new and artistic methods.
You do you – I’m nonetheless going full steam forward with my No. 1 decide, so …
I don’t consider in Penn State.
I feel it deserves to be within the Faculty Soccer Playoff prime 25, WR Jahan Dotson is superb, and there are a complete lot of fantastic components, however you don’t lose to Illinois if the whole lot goes effectively.
You don’t lose to Iowa, even when your beginning quarterback will get knocked out of the sport.
The Ohio State efficiency was superb, however Ohio State might be a complete lot extra overrated than the hyped up blowouts over unhealthy groups would possibly point out.
Possibly I’m lacking one thing huge – the wins over Wisconsin and Auburn early on have been sturdy – however beating Maryland final week simply doesn’t do it.
The Nittany Lions can’t run the ball – below 100 yards in six of the 9 video games – and Michigan’s run protection hasn’t had a lot of an issue towards anybody however Michigan State’s Kenneth Walker.
How good is the Wolverine offense? Wisconsin’s protection is developing with a traditionally nice run, and Michigan is the one staff to amass greater than 300 yards towards it.
1.5 is mainly a decide ’em recreation. Michigan is the higher staff, it’s enjoying indignant, it has the strains to carry up and …
I simply picked Michigan to win within the No. 1 slot on this piece.
Do with that what you should.
Week 11 Fearless Predictions, Recreation Previews
– CFN Week 11 Specialists Picks: Faculty
– CFN Week 10 Specialists Picks: NFL
– Week 11 Schedule, Recreation Occasions, Recreation Previews
– ACC | Large Ten | Large 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
– Faculty Soccer Playoff: 25 Immediate Reactions
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